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Rio Barra vs Buzios Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Carioca C 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Marconato D.
31' Event
Fabio Cardozo
48' Event
de Oliveira Barbosa V. G.

AI Match Summary

Rio Barra in this Carioca C 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rio Barra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Rio Barra
20%
Draws
0%
Buzios
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rio Barra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rio Barra lately — more wins on the board than Buzios.
  • Model gives Rio Barra a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Rio Barra Clean Sheet 11%
Buzios Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rio Barra Buzios
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 11 9
Draws 4 4
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.1 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 0.98 1.77
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Carioca C
Buzios vs Rio Barra
1:1
Jul 6, 2026 Carioca C
Rio Barra vs Buzios
0:1
Aug 3, 2025 Carioca C
Rio Barra vs Buzios
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rio Barra Compare

Top Goalscorer Fabio Cardozo
1 Goals
Assists Leader de Souza Santos E. F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.49

Buzios Compare

Top Goalscorer Marconato D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader de Oliveira Barbosa V. G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.61
Avg xA / game 0.98

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rio Barra 83 / 100
Buzios 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rio Barra Buzios

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rio Barra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: Buzios has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Buzios's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Rio Barra stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rio Barra VS Buzios
1.33 Goals Scored 2.38
1.17 Goals Conceded 0.63
83% Over 1.5 75%
33% Over 2.5 38%
33% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rio Barra

(Home)
12 Jul
Buzios
1 : 1
Rio Barra
06 Jul
Rio Barra
0 : 1
Buzios
03 Jul
Rio Barra
1 : 1
Tigres Brasil
28 Jun
Grande Rio Brescia Clube
0 : 2
Rio Barra
07 Jun
Rio Barra
0 : 4
Campos AA
Page 1 of 6

Buzios

(Away)
28 Sept
Barra Mansa
1 : 0
Buzios
20 Sept
Buzios
0 : 3
Serra Macaense
13 Sept
Santa Cruz RJ
3 : 0
Buzios
06 Sept
Buzios
0 : 3
Cardoso Moreira
31 Aug
FC Rio de Janeiro
3 : 1
Buzios
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paraty 12 9 1 2 33:11 28
2 Santa Cruz RJ 12 8 3 1 39:14 27
3 Riostrense 12 8 2 2 29:11 26
4 Uniao Central 12 7 3 2 34:18 24
5 Juventus RJ 12 7 3 2 24:9 24
6 EC Vera Cruz 12 6 2 4 18:11 20
7 Angra dos Reis 12 6 1 5 24:21 19
8 Rio Barra 11 4 0 7 12:24 12
9 Buzios 12 4 0 8 16:33 12
10 Duque Caxiense 12 3 1 8 15:19 10
11 Caac Brazil 12 3 0 9 10:35 9
12 Mesquita 12 2 1 9 8:28 7
13 Barcelona EC 11 1 1 9 5:33 4
Promotion - Carioca C 2025 (Play Offs)