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Rio Branco ES vs Galatas

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Capixaba 2016
Rio Branco ES Logo

Rio Branco ES

1 - 0
FT
Galatas Logo

Galatas

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Capixaba 2016 game between Rio Branco ES and Galatas finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rio Branco ES.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Rio Branco ES
20%
Draws
33%
Galatas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rio Branco ES

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Rio Branco ES carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Rio Branco ES taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Capixaba 2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Rio Branco ES Clean Sheet 20%
Galatas Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rio Branco ES Galatas
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 9 10
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.2 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2017 Capixaba
Galatas vs Rio Branco ES
1:0
Apr 14, 2016 Capixaba
Rio Branco ES vs Galatas
1:0
Mar 23, 2016 Capixaba
Galatas vs Rio Branco ES
1:0
Mar 31, 2013 Capixaba
Rio Branco ES vs Galatas
4:0
Feb 16, 2013 Capixaba
Galatas vs Rio Branco ES
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rio Branco ES 85 / 100
Galatas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rio Branco ES Galatas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rio Branco ES Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rio Branco ES found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Galatas let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Rio Branco ES went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rio Branco ES VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Rio Branco ES

(Home)
27 Jun
Uberlandia
2 : 2
Rio Branco ES
21 Jun
Rio Branco ES
0 : 2
Uberlandia
14 Jun
Rio Branco ES
4 : 0
Porto-BA
06 Jun
Rio Branco ES
1 : 0
Serra
03 Jun
Audax Sao Mateus
0 : 4
Rio Branco ES
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Galatas

(Away)
20 Sept
Galatas
0 : 2
Serra
14 Sept
Sport-ES
1 : 2
Galatas
05 Sept
Pinheiros
3 : 1
Galatas
30 Aug
Galatas
3 : 2
Linhares Futebol Clube
23 Aug
GEL
1 : 1
Galatas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desportiva Ferroviaria 10 5 2 3 15:8 17
2 Galatas 10 4 5 1 12:8 17
3 Real Noroeste 10 5 1 4 10:10 16
4 Linhares Futebol Clube 10 4 1 5 13:16 13
5 Rio Branco ES 10 4 0 6 11:14 12
6 CA Itapemirim 10 2 3 5 11:16 9
Promotion - Campeonato Capixaba 2016 (Play Offs)