Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rio Branco PR vs Araucaria

Brazil Brazil

Paranaense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Coutinho
37' Event
Bessa dos Santos A.
39' Event
Henrique G.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 2-5.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Rio Branco PR
15%
Draws
59%
Araucaria
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Araucaria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Araucaria come out ahead of Rio Branco PR on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Araucaria's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Araucaria arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Araucaria, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Araucaria here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Rio Branco PR Clean Sheet 14%
Araucaria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rio Branco PR Araucaria
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 10
Draws 10 8
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.37 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2026 Paranaense 2
Araucaria vs Rio Branco PR
1:0
May 3, 2026 Paranaense 2
Rio Branco PR vs Araucaria
2:5
Mar 29, 2026 Paranaense 2
Araucaria vs Rio Branco PR
6:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rio Branco PR Compare

Top Goalscorer Bessa dos Santos A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dhiordan
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Araucaria Compare

Top Goalscorer Coutinho
4 Goals
Assists Leader Henrique G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rio Branco PR 27 / 100
Araucaria 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rio Branco PR Araucaria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Araucaria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 6.67 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Rio Branco PR scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Araucaria has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Rio Branco PR stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rio Branco PR VS Araucaria
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rio Branco PR

(Home)
11 May
Araucaria
1 : 0
Rio Branco PR
03 May
Rio Branco PR
2 : 5
Araucaria
25 Apr
Rio Branco PR
3 : 1
Prudentopolis
19 Apr
Toledo
0 : 0
Rio Branco PR
11 Apr
Patriotas
3 : 1
Rio Branco PR
Page 1 of 6

Araucaria

(Away)
23 May
Parana
2 : 1
Araucaria
17 May
Araucaria
0 : 2
Parana
11 May
Araucaria
1 : 0
Rio Branco PR
03 May
Rio Branco PR
2 : 5
Araucaria
25 Apr
Batel
0 : 1
Araucaria
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Parana 8
Toledo 1
Araucaria 6
Rio Branco PR 2
Patriotas 1
Nacional PR 0
Laranja Mecanica 1
Paranavai-PR 2
Semi-finals
Parana 4
Araucaria 1
Patriotas 2
Paranavai-PR 3
Final
Parana 1
Paranavai-PR 2