Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rio Branco-VN vs Serra

Brazil Brazil

Copa Espirito Santo Estádio Olímpio Perim, Venda Nova do Imigrante
Our Tip

Match Events

70' Event
Jorge Mendes

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

74%
Rio Branco-VN
20%
Draws
6%
Serra
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rio Branco-VN

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • Serra have won more games recently than Rio Branco-VN.
  • 74% — that's where the model lands on Rio Branco-VN taking it.
  • Serra arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Serra, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Rio Branco-VN Clean Sheet 20%
Serra Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rio Branco-VN Serra
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 8 17
Draws 10 3
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.21 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Copa Espirito Santo
Rio Branco-VN vs Serra
1:0
Jan 31, 2026 Capixaba
Serra vs Rio Branco-VN
1:0
May 2, 2025 Copa Espirito Santo
Serra vs Rio Branco-VN
0:1
Feb 16, 2024 Capixaba
Serra vs Rio Branco-VN
0:1
Mar 13, 2022 Capixaba
Rio Branco-VN vs Serra
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rio Branco-VN Compare

Top Goalscorer Jorge Mendes
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Serra Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rio Branco-VN 85 / 100
Serra 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rio Branco-VN Serra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rio Branco-VN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rio Branco-VN has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Serra has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Away concern: Serra has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Rio Branco-VN scored in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Rio Branco-VN VS Serra
0.75 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rio Branco-VN

(Home)
01 Jul
Vitoria ES
0 : 1
Rio Branco-VN
20 Jun
Porto Vitoria
3 : 3
Rio Branco-VN
14 Jun
Rio Branco-VN
1 : 0
Porto Vitoria
06 Jun
Vitoria ES
0 : 1
Rio Branco-VN
31 May
Sport-ES
0 : 2
Rio Branco-VN
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Serra

(Away)
06 Jun
Rio Branco ES
1 : 0
Serra
30 May
Serra
1 : 1
Porto Vitoria
24 May
Rio Branco-VN
1 : 0
Serra
20 May
Vitoria ES
3 : 2
Serra
09 May
Serra
2 : 3
Vilavelhense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Porto Vitoria 7 5 1 1 14:5 16
2 Vitoria ES 7 4 1 2 16:8 13
3 Vilavelhense 7 4 1 2 10:8 13
4 Rio Branco-VN 7 4 1 2 6:4 13
5 Rio Branco ES 7 3 2 2 11:7 11
6 Sport-ES 7 2 0 5 3:13 6
7 Serra 7 1 1 5 6:10 4
8 Audax Sao Mateus 7 1 1 5 2:13 4
Promotion - Copa Espirito Santo (Play Offs)