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Rio Branco-VN vs Serra

Brazil Brazil

Copa Espirito Santo Estádio Olímpio Perim
Our Tip

Match Events

70' Event
Jorge Mendes

AI Match Summary

Rio Branco-VN in this Copa Espirito Santo matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rio Branco-VN.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Rio Branco-VN
6%
Draws
4%
Serra
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Rio Branco-VN

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Serra have won more games recently than Rio Branco-VN.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Rio Branco-VN taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Rio Branco-VN Clean Sheet 20%
Serra Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rio Branco-VN Serra
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 9 18
Draws 10 3
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 0.75 1
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Copa Espirito Santo
Rio Branco-VN vs Serra
1:0
Jan 31, 2026 Capixaba
Serra vs Rio Branco-VN
1:0
May 2, 2025 Copa Espirito Santo
Serra vs Rio Branco-VN
0:1
Feb 16, 2024 Capixaba
Serra vs Rio Branco-VN
0:1
Mar 13, 2022 Capixaba
Rio Branco-VN vs Serra
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rio Branco-VN Compare

Top Goalscorer Jorge Mendes
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Serra Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rio Branco-VN 85 / 100
Serra 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rio Branco-VN Serra

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RVN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rio Branco-VN has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Serra has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Rio Branco-VN scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Serra conceded in 59% of 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Rio Branco-VN VS Serra
0.75 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Porto Vitoria751114:516
2Vitoria ES741216:813
3Vilavelhense741210:813
4Rio Branco-VN74126:413
5Rio Branco ES732211:711
6Sport-ES72053:136
7Serra71156:104
8Audax Sao Mateus71152:134