Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rio Claro vs Paulista

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A3
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Mendes J.
63' Event
Masson G.
78'
Enzo

AI Match Summary

Rio Claro in this Paulista A3 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rio Claro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Rio Claro
28%
Draws
50%
Paulista
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Paulista

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Rio Claro haven't matched Paulista's recent run of results.
  • Paulista are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Rio Claro have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Rio Claro Clean Sheet 16%
Paulista Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rio Claro Paulista
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 12
Draws 11 6
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2026 Paulista A3
Rio Claro vs Paulista
2:1
Mar 1, 2014 Paulista
Rio Claro vs Paulista
2:0
Jan 20, 2010 Paulista
Paulista vs Rio Claro
2:1
Jan 16, 2008 Paulista
Rio Claro vs Paulista
2:0
Apr 11, 2007 Paulista
Paulista vs Rio Claro
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rio Claro Compare

Top Goalscorer Masson G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gabriel Neto
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Paulista Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendes J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rio Claro 23 / 100
Paulista 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rio Claro Paulista

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rio Claro scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Paulista's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Rio Claro went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rio Claro VS Paulista
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rio Claro

(Home)
05 Apr
XV de Jau
2 : 0
Rio Claro
28 Mar
Rio Claro
0 : 1
XV de Jau
21 Mar
Rio Claro
3 : 1
Uniao Suzano
15 Mar
Francana
3 : 0
Rio Claro
11 Mar
Rio Claro
0 : 1
XV de Jau
Page 1 of 6

Paulista

(Away)
26 Jul
Juventus-SP
3 : 1
Paulista
18 Jul
Paulista
1 : 0
Primavera EC
05 Apr
Portuguesa Santista
2 : 0
Paulista
28 Mar
Paulista
2 : 1
Portuguesa Santista
21 Mar
Catanduva FC
1 : 3
Paulista
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portuguesa Santista15120326:936
2Marilia1595123:632
3Rio Preto EC1585224:1329
4XV de Jau1583416:1127
5Rio Claro1574419:1625
6Uniao Barbarense1566316:1424
7EC Sao Bernardo1565422:1523
8Paulista1565420:1323
9Uniao Sao Joao1564516:1522
10Catanduva FC1556416:1521
11Bandeirante1546515:1918
12Rio Branco SP1544713:2416
13Francana15311113:2210
14Itapirense15231014:269
15Desportivo151598:258
16Uniao Suzano15121210:285
Promotion - Paulista A3 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paulista A4 2027 (Main)