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Rio Maior SC vs Arronches Benfica Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2022/2023 Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior, Rio Maior
Sun, Apr 2, 2023
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rio Maior SC host Arronches Benfica in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2022/2023. This has Arronches Benfica written all over it on paper. Rio Maior SC have averaged 0.59 scored and 2 conceded recently, against Arronches Benfica's 1 scored and 0.77 conceded. Head-to-head, Rio Maior SC have won 1 to Arronches Benfica's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 2, 2023, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.92 xG vs 0.99) point toward Arronches Benfica. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Rio Maior SC
15%
Draws
73%
Arronches Benfica
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arronches Benfica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Arronches Benfica lately — more wins on the board than Rio Maior SC.
  • Model gives Rio Maior SC a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Rio Maior SC Clean Sheet 20%
Arronches Benfica Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rio Maior SC Arronches Benfica
Matches Played 17 35
Wins 1 15
Draws 3 10
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 0.59 1
Goals Conceded 2 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Rio Maior SC vs Arronches Benfica
0:0
Dec 11, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Arronches Benfica vs Rio Maior SC
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rio Maior SC 42 / 100
Arronches Benfica 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rio Maior SC Arronches Benfica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arronches Benfica's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Rio Maior SC found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (17 games).

Arronches Benfica's defensive record shows goals conceded in 54% of 35 matches.

Games between these two average 0.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

- VS Arronches Benfica
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rio Maior SC

(Home)
29 Jan
Pero Pinheiro
3 : 0
Rio Maior SC
22 Jan
Rio Maior SC
2 : 3
GD Coruchense
15 Jan
Sintrense
4 : 0
Rio Maior SC
08 Jan
Santarem
5 : 1
Rio Maior SC
17 Dec
Rio Maior SC
1 : 1
SB Castelo Branco
Page 1 of 4

Arronches Benfica

(Away)
13 Apr
Arronches Benfica
0 : 1
O Elvas CAD
06 Apr
Fatima
1 : 0
Arronches Benfica
29 Mar
Arronches Benfica
2 : 1
Pero Pinheiro
16 Mar
Alverca B
2 : 0
Arronches Benfica
09 Mar
Arronches Benfica
1 : 0
Sertanense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 1º Dezembro 25 15 5 5 37:19 50
2 Pero Pinheiro 25 15 7 4 34:24 49
3 Santarem 25 13 9 3 40:14 48
4 Marinhense 25 12 6 7 31:24 42
5 SB Castelo Branco 25 10 10 5 33:27 40
6 Mortagua FC 25 9 9 7 41:38 36
7 Sertanense 25 9 9 7 30:25 36
8 Sintrense 25 10 9 7 34:25 36
9 GD Coruchense 25 8 9 9 30:28 30
10 Uniao Da Serra 25 9 3 13 31:40 30
11 GS Loures 25 6 7 12 26:41 25
12 Arronches Benfica 25 5 4 16 15:39 19
13 Alcains 25 4 2 19 23:47 14
14 Rio Maior SC 0 1 0 12 0:0 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)