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Rio Maior SC vs Santarem Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2022/2023 Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior, Rio Maior
Sun, Apr 16, 2023
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rio Maior SC host Santarem in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2022/2023. This has Santarem written all over it on paper. Santarem have shipped 1.06 goals a game lately, while Rio Maior SC have conceded 2 and scored 0.59. Head-to-head, Rio Maior SC have won 0 to Santarem's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 16, 2023, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.42 - 0.99) back Santarem to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Rio Maior SC
20%
Draws
70%
Santarem
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Santarem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Santarem come out ahead of Rio Maior SC on wins alone.
  • Rio Maior SC are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Rio Maior SC Clean Sheet 20%
Santarem Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rio Maior SC Santarem
Matches Played 17 35
Wins 1 9
Draws 3 15
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 0.59 1.11
Goals Conceded 2 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Rio Maior SC vs Santarem
0:0
Jan 8, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Santarem vs Rio Maior SC
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rio Maior SC 42 / 100
Santarem 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rio Maior SC Santarem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Santarem conceded in 74% of 35 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Rio Maior SC scored in 47% of their last 17 games.

Rio Maior SC has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Santarem
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rio Maior SC

(Home)
29 Jan
Pero Pinheiro
3 : 0
Rio Maior SC
22 Jan
Rio Maior SC
2 : 3
GD Coruchense
15 Jan
Sintrense
4 : 0
Rio Maior SC
08 Jan
Santarem
5 : 1
Rio Maior SC
17 Dec
Rio Maior SC
1 : 1
SB Castelo Branco
Page 1 of 4

Santarem

(Away)
20 Sept
Santarem
5 : 0
Merelinense
12 Sept
Louletano
1 : 2
Santarem
04 Sept
Santarem
0 : 1
Caldas SC
22 Aug
CF Os Belenenses
5 : 0
Santarem
14 Aug
Santarem
1 : 1
Oliveirense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 1º Dezembro 25 15 5 5 37:19 50
2 Pero Pinheiro 25 15 7 4 34:24 49
3 Santarem 25 13 9 3 40:14 48
4 Marinhense 25 12 6 7 31:24 42
5 SB Castelo Branco 25 10 10 5 33:27 40
6 Mortagua FC 25 9 9 7 41:38 36
7 Sertanense 25 9 9 7 30:25 36
8 Sintrense 25 10 9 7 34:25 36
9 GD Coruchense 25 8 9 9 30:28 30
10 Uniao Da Serra 25 9 3 13 31:40 30
11 GS Loures 25 6 7 12 26:41 25
12 Arronches Benfica 25 5 4 16 15:39 19
13 Alcains 25 4 2 19 23:47 14
14 Rio Maior SC 0 1 0 12 0:0 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)