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AI Match Summary
Rio Preto EC host Desportivo in the Paulista A3. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Rio Preto EC at 1.88 goals for, 0.5 against; Desportivo at 0.38 for, 1.38 against. Past meetings favor Rio Preto EC slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 14, 2026, ending 4:0. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 0.44) point toward Rio Preto EC. Rio Preto EC in a double chance market carries the safer edge.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Rio Preto EC has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Desportivo.
- Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Rio Preto EC.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in Paulista A3 provide steady trend data.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rio Preto EC | Desportivo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 8 |
| Draws | 11 | 9 |
| Losses | 8 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.88 | 0.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.5 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 0.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.50 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Rio Preto EC Compare
Desportivo Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Rio Preto EC scored in 67% of their last 30 games.
Desportivo let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Rio Preto EC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Desportivo lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portuguesa Santista | 15 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 26:9 | 36 |
| 2 | Marilia | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 23:6 | 32 |
| 3 | Rio Preto EC | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24:13 | 29 |
| 4 | XV de Jau | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 16:11 | 27 |
| 5 | Rio Claro | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 19:16 | 25 |
| 6 | Uniao Barbarense | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 16:14 | 24 |
| 7 | EC Sao Bernardo | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22:15 | 23 |
| 8 | Paulista | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20:13 | 23 |
| 9 | Uniao Sao Joao | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16:15 | 22 |
| 10 | Catanduva FC | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 16:15 | 21 |
| 11 | Bandeirante | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 15:19 | 18 |
| 12 | Rio Branco SP | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 13:24 | 16 |
| 13 | Francana | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 13:22 | 10 |
| 14 | Itapirense | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 14:26 | 9 |
| 15 | Desportivo | 15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 8:25 | 8 |
| 16 | Uniao Suzano | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10:28 | 5 |