Sport Picks
Match Events
25'
25'
de Oliveira Valerio V.
27'
27'
Douglas Lopes
Own Goal
AI Match Summary
The Paulista A3 game between Rio Preto EC and Marilia finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rio Preto EC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Marilia carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Rio Preto EC's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Rio Preto EC Clean Sheet 68%
Marilia Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rio Preto EC | Marilia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 14 |
| Draws | 11 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 0.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.21 | 0.84 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 11, 2026 Paulista A3
Rio Preto EC vs Marilia
1:1
Mar 5, 2025 Paulista A3
Marilia vs Rio Preto EC
1:1
Jan 24, 2024 Paulista A3
Rio Preto EC vs Marilia
0:0
Jan 26, 2023 Paulista A3
Marilia vs Rio Preto EC
2:1
Feb 2, 2022 Paulista A3
Marilia vs Rio Preto EC
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Rio Preto EC Compare
Top Goalscorer de Oliveira Valerio V.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.93
Avg xA / game 0.6
Marilia Compare
Avg xG / game 0.76
Avg xA / game 0.47
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rio Preto EC 95 / 100
Marilia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rio Preto EC Marilia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick RIP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Rio Preto EC's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Rio Preto EC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Marilia lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Rio Preto EC VS Marilia
1.29 Goals Scored 1.25
0.43 Goals Conceded 1.13
43% Over 1.5 75%
29% Over 2.5 38%
14% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Rio Preto EC
(Home) 18 Apr
Portuguesa Santista
1 : 1 Rio Preto EC
11 Apr
Rio Preto EC
0 : 1 Portuguesa Santista
04 Apr
Rio Preto EC
0 : 0 Uniao Barbarense
28 Mar
Uniao Barbarense
0 : 3 Rio Preto EC
21 Mar
Itapirense
0 : 1 Rio Preto EC
Page 1 of 6
11 Apr
Rio Preto EC
0 : 1 Portuguesa Santista
04 Apr
Rio Preto EC
0 : 0 Uniao Barbarense
14 Mar
Rio Preto EC
4 : 0 Desportivo
07 Mar
Rio Preto EC
1 : 0 XV de Jau
25 Feb
Rio Preto EC
2 : 0 Paulista
Page 1 of 3
Marilia
(Away) 01 Aug
Bandeirante
3 : 1 Marilia
26 Jul
Linense
3 : 1 Marilia
17 Jul
Marilia
1 : 0 Gremio Prudente
26 Apr
Portuguesa Santista
2 : 0 Marilia
22 Apr
Marilia
2 : 2 Portuguesa Santista
Page 1 of 6
01 Aug
Bandeirante
3 : 1 Marilia
26 Jul
Linense
3 : 1 Marilia
26 Apr
Portuguesa Santista
2 : 0 Marilia
12 Apr
XV de Jau
0 : 0 Marilia
28 Mar
EC Sao Bernardo
2 : 0 Marilia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portuguesa Santista | 15 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 26:9 | 36 |
| 2 | Marilia | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 23:6 | 32 |
| 3 | Rio Preto EC | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24:13 | 29 |
| 4 | XV de Jau | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 16:11 | 27 |
| 5 | Rio Claro | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 19:16 | 25 |
| 6 | Uniao Barbarense | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 16:14 | 24 |
| 7 | EC Sao Bernardo | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22:15 | 23 |
| 8 | Paulista | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20:13 | 23 |
| 9 | Uniao Sao Joao | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16:15 | 22 |
| 10 | Catanduva FC | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 16:15 | 21 |
| 11 | Bandeirante | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 15:19 | 18 |
| 12 | Rio Branco SP | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 13:24 | 16 |
| 13 | Francana | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 13:22 | 10 |
| 14 | Itapirense | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 14:26 | 9 |
| 15 | Desportivo | 15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 8:25 | 8 |
| 16 | Uniao Suzano | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10:28 | 5 |
Promotion - Paulista A3 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paulista A4 2027 (Main)
