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Rio San Juan vs C.A. Chocorosi Prediction & H2H Stats

Bolivia Bolivia

Copa Simon Bolivar 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-2, with Rio San Juan advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Rio San Juan
20%
Draws
0%
C.A. Chocorosi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rio San Juan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rio San Juan come out ahead of C.A. Chocorosi on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Rio San Juan's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Rio San Juan have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Rio San Juan, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Rio San Juan Clean Sheet 16%
C.A. Chocorosi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rio San Juan C.A. Chocorosi
Matches Played 16 6
Wins 5 0
Draws 6 0
Losses 5 6
Goals Scored 1.31 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.44 4
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
C.A. Chocorosi vs Rio San Juan
0:3
Aug 24, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
Rio San Juan vs C.A. Chocorosi
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rio San Juan 84 / 100
C.A. Chocorosi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rio San Juan C.A. Chocorosi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rio San Juan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rio San Juan's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 16 recent games.

C.A. Chocorosi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 6 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

C.A. Chocorosi lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rio San Juan VS C.A. Chocorosi
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 4
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Rio San Juan

(Home)
09 Nov
Rio San Juan
0 : 0
Real Potosi
02 Nov
Real Potosi
2 : 0
Rio San Juan
26 Oct
Rio San Juan
1 : 1
Pucarani
11 Oct
Pucarani
0 : 1
Rio San Juan
27 Sept
C.A. Chocorosi
0 : 3
Rio San Juan
Page 1 of 4

C.A. Chocorosi

(Away)
27 Sept
C.A. Chocorosi
0 : 3
Rio San Juan
20 Sept
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
3 : 0
C.A. Chocorosi
14 Sept
Fancesa
8 : 0
C.A. Chocorosi
06 Sept
C.A. Chocorosi
0 : 3
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
30 Aug
C.A. Chocorosi
1 : 4
Fancesa
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 6 5 0 1 18:5 15
2 Rio San Juan 6 4 1 1 11:6 13
3 Fancesa 6 2 1 3 16:13 7
4 C.A. Chocorosi 6 0 0 6 3:24 0
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 1 de Mayo 6 5 0 1 11:2 15
2 CD Guadalajara 6 3 0 3 7:8 9
3 Central Union 6 2 0 4 8:9 6
4 Ingenieros 6 2 0 4 5:12 6
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Potosi 6 3 2 1 10:5 11
2 Torre Fuerte 6 3 0 3 9:9 9
3 Nueva Cliza 6 2 3 1 7:7 9
4 Nacional Sucre 6 1 1 4 7:12 4
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Juan FC 6 3 2 1 12:5 11
2 Olympic FC 6 2 3 1 9:3 9
3 CD Ingenio 6 2 2 2 9:11 8
4 Chaco FC 6 0 3 3 7:18 3
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Universitario de Sucre 6 6 0 0 26:5 18
2 Deportivo Shalon 6 2 0 4 19:12 6
3 Libertad FC 6 2 0 4 6:14 6
4 3 de Febrero 6 2 0 4 6:26 6
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tiquipaya 6 5 1 0 18:5 16
2 Municipal de Tarija 6 3 1 2 16:9 10
3 Pucarani 6 3 0 3 11:6 9
4 Universitario de Pando 6 0 0 6 6:31 0
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams