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Rio Sao Paulo vs AA Carapebus

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2 2024
Sun, Sep 29, 2024
0 - 3
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rio Sao Paulo host AA Carapebus in the Carioca B2 2024. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Rio Sao Paulo have averaged 0 scored and 4 conceded recently, against AA Carapebus's 1.88 scored and 1 conceded. Head-to-head, Rio Sao Paulo have won 0 to AA Carapebus's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 29, 2024, ending 0:3. The numbers (1.10 xG vs 2.94) point toward AA Carapebus. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Rio Sao Paulo
6%
Draws
90%
AA Carapebus
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: AA Carapebus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Rio Sao Paulo haven't matched AA Carapebus's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on AA Carapebus taking it.
  • Regular Carioca B2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Rio Sao Paulo Clean Sheet 10%
AA Carapebus Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rio Sao Paulo AA Carapebus
Matches Played 27 24
Wins 6 9
Draws 7 5
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 0 1.88
Goals Conceded 4 1
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2024 Carioca B2
Rio Sao Paulo vs AA Carapebus
0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rio Sao Paulo 10 / 100
AA Carapebus 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rio Sao Paulo AA Carapebus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AA Carapebus's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 24 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Rio Sao Paulo scored in 52% of their last 27 games.

AA Carapebus lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rio Sao Paulo VS AA Carapebus
0 Goals Scored 1.88
4 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
33% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Campo Grande1182123:626
2Bonsucesso1164120:522
3Niteroiense1163219:1221
4AA Carapebus1162323:1120
5Serra Macaense1145210:717
6Zinza1144313:816
7Barra Mansa1143412:1015
8Uni Souza1143413:1815
97 de Abril1124512:1310
10FC Rio de Janeiro1122712:238
11Mageense1120911:306
12Rio Sao Paulo112098:336