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Rio Sao Paulo vs Uni Souza

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rio Sao Paulo play Uni Souza in the Carioca B2 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Rio Sao Paulo averaged 0.2 goals scored and 3.6 conceded. Uni Souza averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. In past meetings, Rio Sao Paulo won 0, Uni Souza won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 3, 2024 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for Rio Sao Paulo and 2.37 for Uni Souza. This points to a Uni Souza double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Rio Sao Paulo
6%
Draws
90%
Uni Souza
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Uni Souza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Uni Souza has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Rio Sao Paulo.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Uni Souza.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Carioca B2 2024 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Rio Sao Paulo Clean Sheet 10%
Uni Souza Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rio Sao Paulo Uni Souza
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 6 12
Draws 7 8
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 0.2 1.13
Goals Conceded 3.6 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.20 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.60 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 3, 2024 Carioca B2
Rio Sao Paulo vs Uni Souza
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rio Sao Paulo Compare

Top Goalscorer Ryan Rocha
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.15
Avg xA / game 0.1

Uni Souza Compare

Top Goalscorer Douglas Cae
1 Goals
Assists Leader Milao V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rio Sao Paulo 10 / 100
Uni Souza 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rio Sao Paulo Uni Souza

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rio Sao Paulo scored in 52% of their last 27 games.

Uni Souza let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Rio Sao Paulo went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Uni Souza lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rio Sao Paulo VS Uni Souza
0.2 Goals Scored 1.13
3.6 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
40% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Campo Grande1182123:626
2Bonsucesso1164120:522
3Niteroiense1163219:1221
4AA Carapebus1162323:1120
5Serra Macaense1145210:717
6Zinza1144313:816
7Barra Mansa1143412:1015
8Uni Souza1143413:1815
97 de Abril1124512:1310
10FC Rio de Janeiro1122712:238
11Mageense1120911:306
12Rio Sao Paulo112098:336