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Rio Verde vs Gremio Anapolis Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Goiano 2
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Rael
33' Event
Ferreira Castro N.
48' Event
Matheus Chaves

AI Match Summary

Rio Verde in this Goiano 2 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rio Verde.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Rio Verde
35%
Draws
16%
Gremio Anapolis
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Rio Verde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Gremio Anapolis haven't matched Rio Verde's recent run of results.
  • Rio Verde are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Rio Verde Clean Sheet 68%
Gremio Anapolis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rio Verde Gremio Anapolis
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 5
Draws 12 10
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Goiano 2
Rio Verde vs Gremio Anapolis
4:1
Jul 19, 2025 Goiano 2
Gremio Anapolis vs Rio Verde
1:2
May 31, 2025 Goiano 2
Rio Verde vs Gremio Anapolis
1:0
Feb 25, 2018 Goiano
Rio Verde vs Gremio Anapolis
1:2
Jan 27, 2018 Goiano
Gremio Anapolis vs Rio Verde
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rio Verde Compare

Top Goalscorer Rael
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ferreira Castro N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Gremio Anapolis Compare

Top Goalscorer Dos Santos Guerra T. M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rio Verde 86 / 100
Gremio Anapolis 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rio Verde Gremio Anapolis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rio Verde Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Gremio Anapolis conceded in 89% of 28 recent games.

Rio Verde has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Rio Verde found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Rio Verde VS Gremio Anapolis
1 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rio Verde

(Home)
27 Sept
Rio Verde
2 : 2
Bom Jesus
24 Sept
Goianesia
1 : 1
Rio Verde
20 Sept
Morrinhos
0 : 0
Rio Verde
13 Sept
Rio Verde
2 : 1
Goiania
09 Sept
Trindade
0 : 2
Rio Verde
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Gremio Anapolis

(Away)
27 Sept
Trindade
2 : 0
Gremio Anapolis
23 Sept
Gremio Anapolis
2 : 2
Bom Jesus
20 Sept
Mineiros
3 : 0
Gremio Anapolis
13 Sept
Goianesia
2 : 2
Gremio Anapolis
09 Sept
Gremio Anapolis
1 : 1
Sao Luis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rio Verde 15 8 5 2 23:10 29
2 Bom Jesus 15 6 7 2 19:13 25
3 Goianesia 15 6 6 3 18:17 24
4 Morrinhos 15 6 4 5 22:20 22
5 Mineiros 15 6 4 5 16:14 22
6 Goiania 15 4 7 4 12:13 19
7 Tupy FC 15 4 6 5 13:13 18
8 Sao Luis 15 3 6 6 17:22 15
9 Trindade 15 2 6 7 13:21 12
10 Gremio Anapolis 15 2 5 8 15:25 11
Promotion - Goiano 2027 (Main)
Relegation - Goiano 3 (Main)