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Rio Verde vs Guanabara City

Brazil Brazil

Goiano 3 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Emerson Machado
8' Event
Emerson Machado
48' Event
Leopoldino C.

AI Match Summary

The Goiano 3 2024 game between Rio Verde and Guanabara City finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rio Verde.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Rio Verde
44%
Draws
20%
Guanabara City
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Rio Verde carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Rio Verde Clean Sheet 16%
Guanabara City Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rio Verde Guanabara City
Matches Played 29 23
Wins 13 11
Draws 9 4
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.25 2.13
Goals Conceded 0.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2024 Goiano 3
Rio Verde vs Guanabara City
4:0
Oct 18, 2024 Goiano 3
Guanabara City vs Rio Verde
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rio Verde Compare

Top Goalscorer Emerson Machado
2 Goals
Assists Leader Leopoldino C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Guanabara City Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rio Verde 36 / 100
Guanabara City 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rio Verde Guanabara City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rio Verde went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Rio Verde's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Guanabara City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 23 matches.

Scoring Trends

Rio Verde VS Guanabara City
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Guanabara City2
Mineiros1
Rio Verde6
Uruacu2
Itumbiara3
Aparecida EC2
Bela Vista FC1
Tupy FC4
Semi-finals
Guanabara City0
Rio Verde6
Itumbiara1
Tupy FC5
Final
Rio Verde4
Tupy FC3