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Rio Verde vs Itumbiara

Brazil Brazil

Goiano 2 2020
Rio Verde Logo

Rio Verde

1 - 3
FT
Itumbiara Logo

Itumbiara

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Goiano 2 2020 game between Rio Verde and Itumbiara finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Itumbiara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Rio Verde
30%
Draws
18%
Itumbiara
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rio Verde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rio Verde come out ahead of Itumbiara on wins alone.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Rio Verde taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Itumbiara have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Rio Verde Clean Sheet 20%
Itumbiara Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rio Verde Itumbiara
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 8
Draws 11 5
Losses 4 17
Goals Scored 1.31 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.72 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 3.88 0.92
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 12, 2020 Goiano 2
Itumbiara vs Rio Verde
4:0
Nov 8, 2020 Goiano 2
Rio Verde vs Itumbiara
1:3
Feb 14, 2018 Goiano
Itumbiara vs Rio Verde
2:0
Jan 24, 2018 Goiano
Rio Verde vs Itumbiara
0:1
Mar 12, 2017 Goiano
Rio Verde vs Itumbiara
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rio Verde 85 / 100
Itumbiara 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rio Verde Itumbiara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rio Verde Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Itumbiara conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Rio Verde went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Rio Verde scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Rio Verde VS Itumbiara
1.75 Goals Scored 1.2
0.63 Goals Conceded 6
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 80%

Recent Form & Match History

Rio Verde

(Home)
24 Sept
Goianesia
1 : 1
Rio Verde
20 Sept
Morrinhos
0 : 0
Rio Verde
13 Sept
Rio Verde
2 : 1
Goiania
09 Sept
Trindade
0 : 2
Rio Verde
05 Sept
Rio Verde
1 : 1
Mineiros
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Itumbiara

(Away)
15 Nov
Itumbiara
2 : 1
Rioverdense
09 Nov
Pires do Rio
10 : 2
Itumbiara
02 Nov
Itumbiara
0 : 8
Bom Jesus
24 Oct
ABD FC
7 : 0
Itumbiara
19 Oct
Itumbiara
2 : 4
Santa Helena
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jataiense 6 4 2 0 8:2 14
2 Itumbiara 6 3 1 2 9:4 10
3 Inhumas 6 2 3 1 12:2 9
4 Rio Verde 6 0 0 6 1:22 0
Promotion - Campeonato Goiano 2021 (Main)