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Rio Verde vs Tupy FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Goiano 2
Rio Verde Logo

Rio Verde

1 - 0
FT
Tupy FC Logo

Tupy FC

Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Iury Tanque
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Rio Verde in this Goiano 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rio Verde.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Rio Verde
35%
Draws
27%
Tupy FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Rio Verde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Tupy FC haven't matched Rio Verde's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Rio Verde a 38% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Goiano 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Rio Verde Clean Sheet 68%
Tupy FC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rio Verde Tupy FC
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 13 8
Draws 13 14
Losses 3 9
Goals Scored 1.28 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2026 Goiano 2
Tupy FC vs Rio Verde
1:1
Jul 29, 2026 Goiano 2
Rio Verde vs Tupy FC
1:0
Jun 29, 2025 Goiano 2
Tupy FC vs Rio Verde
2:2
Jun 22, 2025 Goiano 2
Rio Verde vs Tupy FC
0:0
Nov 9, 2024 Goiano 3
Rio Verde vs Tupy FC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rio Verde Compare

Top Goalscorer Iury Tanque
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Tupy FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rio Verde 68 / 100
Tupy FC 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rio Verde Tupy FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rio Verde Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tupy FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Rio Verde stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Rio Verde found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Rio Verde VS Tupy FC
1.38 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rio Verde

(Home)
07 Oct
Tupy FC
1 : 1
Rio Verde
03 Oct
Gremio Anapolis
1 : 2
Rio Verde
27 Sept
Rio Verde
2 : 2
Bom Jesus
24 Sept
Goianesia
1 : 1
Rio Verde
20 Sept
Morrinhos
0 : 0
Rio Verde
Page 1 of 6

Tupy FC

(Away)
09 Oct
Trindade
2 : 3
Tupy FC
07 Oct
Tupy FC
1 : 1
Rio Verde
03 Oct
Tupy FC
1 : 3
Goianesia
26 Sept
Goiania
1 : 1
Tupy FC
23 Sept
Mineiros
1 : 0
Tupy FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rio Verde 17 9 6 2 26:12 33
2 Bom Jesus 17 8 7 2 24:15 31
3 Goianesia 17 8 6 3 24:19 30
4 Mineiros 17 8 4 5 19:14 28
5 Morrinhos 17 6 4 7 24:24 22
6 Tupy FC 18 5 7 6 18:19 22
7 Goiania 17 4 8 5 13:18 20
8 Sao Luis 17 3 7 7 19:26 16
9 Gremio Anapolis 17 3 5 9 20:27 14
10 Trindade 18 2 6 10 15:28 12
Promotion - Goiano 2027 (Main)
Relegation - Goiano 3 (Main)