Sport Picks
Riograndense vs SC Sao Paulo Prediction & H2H Stats
Brazil
Gaucho 3 2023 
AI Match Summary
Riograndense in this Gaucho 3 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Riograndense.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
15%
48%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SC Sao Paulo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Riograndense lately — more wins on the board than SC Sao Paulo.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Gaucho 3 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Riograndense Clean Sheet 20%
SC Sao Paulo Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Riograndense | SC Sao Paulo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 13 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.19 | 1.26 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.06 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 30, 2026 Gaucho 3
SC Sao Paulo vs Riograndense
3:1
Oct 26, 2025 Gaucho 3
Riograndense vs SC Sao Paulo
0:1
Oct 19, 2025 Gaucho 3
SC Sao Paulo vs Riograndense
0:0
Oct 13, 2024 Gaucho 3
Riograndense vs SC Sao Paulo
4:1
Oct 7, 2024 Gaucho 3
SC Sao Paulo vs Riograndense
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Riograndense 32 / 100
SC Sao Paulo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Riograndense SC Sao Paulo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SC Sao Paulo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
SC Sao Paulo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Riograndense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Riograndense found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (31 games).
Scoring Trends
Riograndense VS SC Sao Paulo
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Riograndense
(Home) 30 Sept
SC Sao Paulo
3 : 1 Riograndense
27 Sept
Riograndense
2 : 1 SC Rio Grande
19 Sept
Futvida
0 : 0 Riograndense
12 Sept
Real SC
3 : 0 Riograndense
05 Sept
Riograndense
3 : 0 EC Novo Horizonte
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
Riograndense
2 : 1 SC Rio Grande
05 Sept
Riograndense
3 : 0 EC Novo Horizonte
08 Nov
Riograndense
8 : 0 Sao Gabriel
26 Oct
Riograndense
0 : 1 SC Sao Paulo
28 Sept
Riograndense
2 : 0 SC Rio Grande
Page 1 of 3
SC Sao Paulo
(Away) 30 Sept
SC Sao Paulo
3 : 1 Riograndense
27 Sept
Panambi
1 : 0 SC Sao Paulo
20 Sept
SC Sao Paulo
2 : 1 Farroupilha
13 Sept
SC Rio Grande
0 : 2 SC Sao Paulo
06 Sept
SC Sao Paulo
1 : 2 Cruz Alta
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
Panambi
1 : 0 SC Sao Paulo
13 Sept
SC Rio Grande
0 : 2 SC Sao Paulo
23 Nov
Apafut
1 : 0 SC Sao Paulo
16 Nov
Sao Gabriel
0 : 5 SC Sao Paulo
26 Oct
Riograndense
0 : 1 SC Sao Paulo
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AE Sao Borja | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:3 | 11 |
| 2 | Cruz Alta | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4:2 | 10 |
| 3 | Santo Angelo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:8 | 7 |
| 4 | Elite CD RS | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3:7 | -1 |
Promotion - Gaucho 3 2023 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cruzeiro RS | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16:1 | 16 |
| 2 | Futvida | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14:5 | 12 |
| 3 | Real SC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:16 | 4 |
| 4 | Riopardense RS | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5:19 | 3 |
Promotion - Gaucho 3 2023 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gramadense | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 17:4 | 16 |
| 2 | Igrejinha | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13:4 | 11 |
| 3 | Novo Horizonte | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3:14 | 4 |
| 4 | Sapucaiense | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6:17 | 3 |
Promotion - Gaucho 3 2023 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Riograndense | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 9:4 | 16 |
| 2 | SC Sao Paulo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 8 |
| 3 | SC Rio Grande | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Farroupilha | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:9 | 2 |
Promotion - Gaucho 3 2023 (Play Offs)
