Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rioverdense vs Cerrado EC

Brazil Brazil

Goiano 3 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Guilherme Dantas G.
34' Event
Leo Ferraz
84' Event
Danillo Ribeiro
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Cerrado EC in this Goiano 3 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cerrado EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Rioverdense
20%
Draws
80%
Cerrado EC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cerrado EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cerrado EC lately — more wins on the board than Rioverdense.
  • Model gives Cerrado EC a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Goiano 3 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Rioverdense Clean Sheet 10%
Cerrado EC Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rioverdense Cerrado EC
Matches Played 30 20
Wins 3 4
Draws 4 6
Losses 23 10
Goals Scored 1 0.85
Goals Conceded 3.07 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2024 Goiano 3
Rioverdense vs Cerrado EC
1:2
Aug 31, 2024 Goiano 3
Cerrado EC vs Rioverdense
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rioverdense Compare

Top Goalscorer Guilherme Dantas G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Cerrado EC Compare

Top Goalscorer Leo Ferraz
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.03

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rioverdense 10 / 100
Cerrado EC 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rioverdense Cerrado EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cerrado EC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rioverdense found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Cerrado EC conceded in 70% of 20 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Away concern: Cerrado EC has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rioverdense VS Cerrado EC
0.5 Goals Scored 1.33
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.33
75% Over 1.5 83%
63% Over 2.5 83%
25% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Rioverdense

(Home)
15 Nov
Itumbiara
2 : 1
Rioverdense
10 Nov
Rioverdense
1 : 3
Aparecida EC
01 Nov
Santa Helena
5 : 1
Rioverdense
25 Oct
Rioverdense
0 : 2
Sao Luis
17 Oct
Guanabara City
8 : 2
Rioverdense
Page 1 of 6

Cerrado EC

(Away)
21 Sept
Aparecida EC
0 : 0
Cerrado EC
14 Sept
Cerrado EC
0 : 3
Itumbiara
07 Sept
Rioverdense
1 : 2
Cerrado EC
31 Aug
Cerrado EC
3 : 0
Rioverdense
24 Aug
Itumbiara
2 : 2
Cerrado EC
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uruacu 6 4 1 1 16:11 13
2 Tupy FC 6 4 0 2 15:7 12
3 Rio Verde 6 3 1 2 19:7 10
4 Pires do Rio 6 0 0 6 5:30 0
Promotion - Goiano 3 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mineiros 8 4 3 1 14:6 15
2 Guanabara City 8 4 2 2 9:5 14
3 Bela Vista FC 8 3 5 0 13:7 14
4 Itaberai 8 1 2 5 6:15 5
5 America GO 8 0 4 4 6:15 4
Promotion - Goiano 3 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aparecida EC 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
2 Itumbiara 6 3 2 1 8:6 11
3 Cerrado EC 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
4 Rioverdense 6 0 2 4 3:9 2
Promotion - Goiano 3 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams