Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Risca United vs Carmarthen Town

Wales Wales

Cymru South 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Steele B.
65' Event
Hodges C.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru South 2021/2022 game between Risca United and Carmarthen Town finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Risca United
30%
Draws
39%
Carmarthen Town
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Carmarthen Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Risca United haven't matched Carmarthen Town's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Risca United Clean Sheet 10%
Carmarthen Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Risca United Carmarthen Town
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 8 18
Draws 9 9
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.5 2.32
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 2.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2022 Cymru South
Risca United vs Carmarthen Town
1:1
Sep 21, 2021 Cymru South
Carmarthen Town vs Risca United
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Risca United Compare

Top Goalscorer Hodges C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Carmarthen Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Steele B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.86
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Risca United 30 / 100
Carmarthen Town 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Risca United Carmarthen Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carmarthen Town Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Risca United scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Carmarthen Town's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 38 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Risca United has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Carmarthen Town
0 Goals Scored 3
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Risca United

(Home)
21 Sept
Cardiff Corries
4 : 1
Risca United
08 Oct
Risca United
1 : 5
Penybont
16 Sept
Risca United
4 : 2
Aberbargoed Buds
30 Apr
Afan Lido
2 : 1
Risca United
18 Apr
Cwmbran Celtic
3 : 3
Risca United
Page 1 of 6

Carmarthen Town

(Away)
25 Sept
Baglan Dragons
1 : 2
Carmarthen Town
12 Sept
Carmarthen Town
2 : 2
Ynyshir Albions
31 Aug
Carmarthen Town
2 : 3
Trethomas Bluebirds
28 Aug
Llanelli
2 : 2
Carmarthen Town
22 Aug
Carmarthen Town
2 : 4
Treowen
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llantwit Major 30 24 2 4 73:31 74
2 Pontypridd United 30 21 6 3 79:30 69
3 Briton Ferry 30 17 5 8 76:36 56
4 Cambrian United 30 15 6 9 73:42 51
5 Carmarthen Town 30 15 9 6 52:25 51
6 Goytre Utd 30 15 6 9 55:36 51
7 Taffs Well 30 14 7 9 57:47 49
8 Pure Swansea 30 11 7 12 44:43 40
9 Llanelli 30 11 7 12 43:54 40
10 Afan Lido 30 12 3 15 45:67 39
11 Trefelin 30 9 10 11 58:51 37
12 Ammanford Town 30 10 4 16 58:56 34
13 Cwmbran Celtic 30 10 4 16 43:74 34
14 Risca United 30 7 10 13 43:51 31
15 Undy 30 5 2 23 41:84 17
16 Port Talbot 30 0 0 30 8:121 0
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2022/2023 (Main)