Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Risca United vs Garden Village

Wales Wales

Division 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between Risca United and Garden Village finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Risca United
39%
Draws
30%
Garden Village
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Garden Village come out ahead of Risca United on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Risca United Clean Sheet 10%
Garden Village Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Risca United Garden Village
Matches Played 31 20
Wins 8 9
Draws 10 3
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.38 3
Goals Conceded 1.38 3.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 3.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 6, 2019 Division 1
Risca United vs Garden Village
0:0
Aug 10, 2019 Division 1
Garden Village vs Risca United
1:2
May 14, 2016 Division 1
Risca United vs Garden Village
4:0
Aug 29, 2015 Division 1
Garden Village vs Risca United
1:2
Nov 15, 2014 FA Cup
Risca United vs Garden Village
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Risca United 30 / 100
Garden Village 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Risca United Garden Village

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Garden Village conceded in 85% of 20 recent games.

Risca United found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Difficult form: Garden Village registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Risca United VS Garden Village
1.38 Goals Scored 3
1.38 Goals Conceded 3.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Risca United

(Home)
21 Sept
Cardiff Corries
4 : 1
Risca United
08 Oct
Risca United
1 : 5
Penybont
16 Sept
Risca United
4 : 2
Aberbargoed Buds
30 Apr
Afan Lido
2 : 1
Risca United
18 Apr
Cwmbran Celtic
3 : 3
Risca United
Page 1 of 7

Garden Village

(Away)
18 Oct
Garden Village
2 : 4
Glynneath Town
20 Sept
Cwmbach Royal Stars
3 : 4
Garden Village
14 Aug
Garden Village
2 : 3
Goytre AFC
06 Mar
Garden Village
0 : 4
Pontardawe
22 Feb
Garden Village
0 : 3
Ton Pentre
Page 1 of 4