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Risca United vs Llantwit Major Prediction & H2H Stats

Wales Wales

Cymru South 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

61' Event
Morgan J.
78' Event
Walters T.
Assist: Goldsworthy C.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru South 2021/2022 game between Risca United and Llantwit Major finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Llantwit Major.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Risca United
20%
Draws
40%
Llantwit Major
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Llantwit Major carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Llantwit Major have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Risca United Clean Sheet 12%
Llantwit Major Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Risca United Llantwit Major
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 11
Draws 9 7
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2022 Cymru South
Risca United vs Llantwit Major
0:2
Sep 11, 2021 Cymru South
Llantwit Major vs Risca United
2:0
Aug 14, 2021 FAW Welsh Cup
Llantwit Major vs Risca United
4:0
Jul 17, 2021 League Cup
Llantwit Major vs Risca United
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Risca United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Llantwit Major Compare

Top Goalscorer Morgan J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Walters T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Risca United 35 / 100
Llantwit Major 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Risca United Llantwit Major

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Llantwit Major Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.

Risca United found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Llantwit Major's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Away concern: Llantwit Major has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Llantwit Major
0 Goals Scored 2.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Risca United

(Home)
21 Sept
Cardiff Corries
4 : 1
Risca United
08 Oct
Risca United
1 : 5
Penybont
16 Sept
Risca United
4 : 2
Aberbargoed Buds
30 Apr
Afan Lido
2 : 1
Risca United
18 Apr
Cwmbran Celtic
3 : 3
Risca United
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Llantwit Major

(Away)
26 Sept
Llantwit Major
2 : 0
Llanelli
12 Sept
Treowen
1 : 1
Llantwit Major
22 Aug
Aberystwyth
5 : 1
Llantwit Major
15 Aug
Llantwit Major
0 : 1
Baglan Dragons
07 Aug
Afan Lido
5 : 0
Llantwit Major
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llantwit Major 30 24 2 4 73:31 74
2 Pontypridd United 30 21 6 3 79:30 69
3 Briton Ferry 30 17 5 8 76:36 56
4 Cambrian United 30 15 6 9 73:42 51
5 Carmarthen Town 30 15 9 6 52:25 51
6 Goytre Utd 30 15 6 9 55:36 51
7 Taffs Well 30 14 7 9 57:47 49
8 Pure Swansea 30 11 7 12 44:43 40
9 Llanelli 30 11 7 12 43:54 40
10 Afan Lido 30 12 3 15 45:67 39
11 Trefelin 30 9 10 11 58:51 37
12 Ammanford Town 30 10 4 16 58:56 34
13 Cwmbran Celtic 30 10 4 16 43:74 34
14 Risca United 30 7 10 13 43:51 31
15 Undy 30 5 2 23 41:84 17
16 Port Talbot 30 0 0 30 8:121 0
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2022/2023 (Main)