Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Risca United vs Penydarren

Wales Wales

Division 1
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Colvin-Owens C.
64' Event
Ripley E.
70' Event
Lewis A.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between Risca United and Penydarren finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Risca United
15%
Draws
51%
Penydarren
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Penydarren

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Risca United haven't matched Penydarren's recent run of results.
  • Risca United are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Risca United Clean Sheet 10%
Penydarren Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Risca United Penydarren
Matches Played 30 15
Wins 8 9
Draws 9 0
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.5 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.87 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 9, 2019 Division 1
Penydarren vs Risca United
0:0
Oct 18, 2019 Division 1
Risca United vs Penydarren
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Risca United Compare

Top Goalscorer Ripley E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Willmott J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Penydarren Compare

Top Goalscorer Colvin-Owens C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lewis A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Risca United 34 / 100
Penydarren 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Risca United Penydarren

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Risca United found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Penydarren has conceded goals in 67% of their last 15 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Penydarren has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Risca United VS Penydarren
1 Goals Scored 2.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Risca United

(Home)
21 Sept
Cardiff Corries
4 : 1
Risca United
08 Oct
Risca United
1 : 5
Penybont
16 Sept
Risca United
4 : 2
Aberbargoed Buds
30 Apr
Afan Lido
2 : 1
Risca United
18 Apr
Cwmbran Celtic
3 : 3
Risca United
Page 1 of 6

Penydarren

(Away)
20 Sept
Penydarren
0 : 5
Caerau Ely
16 Nov
Penydarren
2 : 3
Carmarthen Town
18 Oct
Penydarren
2 : 0
Pontypridd United
21 Sept
Penydarren
4 : 3
Porthcawl Town
16 Sept
Penydarren
2 : 3
South Gower AFC
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trefelin 20 17 3 0 64:23 54
2 Port Talbot 18 10 5 3 33:16 35
3 Risca United 16 10 3 3 32:24 33
4 Goytre AFC 18 9 5 4 46:22 32
5 Garden Village 20 8 5 7 25:29 29
6 Caldicot 18 8 2 8 27:25 26
7 Penydarren 13 7 3 3 26:22 24
8 Ton Pentre 19 6 4 9 31:42 22
9 Bridgend Street 15 6 3 6 35:25 21
10 Pontardawe 16 5 4 7 22:28 19
11 Abergavenny Town 20 5 3 12 25:42 18
12 Aberbargoed Buds 15 4 4 7 25:31 16
13 Monmouth 17 4 2 11 27:39 14
14 Llwydcoed 16 3 5 8 20:33 14
15 Croesyceiliog FC 13 3 4 6 19:27 13
16 Dinas Powys 18 2 3 13 28:57 9
Promotion - Cymru South 2020/2021 (Main)