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Riteriai vs FK Kauno Zalgiris

Lithuania Lithuania

Lithuanian Cup LFF stadionas
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Benchaib A.
19' Event
Leo Ribeiro
30'
Lekiatas R.

AI Match Summary

Riteriai play FK Kauno Zalgiris in the Lithuanian Cup. FK Kauno Zalgiris are favorites here. Recently, Riteriai averaged 0.29 goals scored and 2.86 conceded. FK Kauno Zalgiris averaged 1.13 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. In past meetings, Riteriai won 0, FK Kauno Zalgiris won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 19, 2026 ended 0:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.58 for Riteriai and 1.99 for FK Kauno Zalgiris. This points to a FK Kauno Zalgiris double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Riteriai
6%
Draws
90%
FK Kauno Zalgiris
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FK Kauno Zalgiris

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • FK Kauno Zalgiris has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Riteriai.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for FK Kauno Zalgiris.
  • Cup tournament structure in Lithuanian Cup increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Riteriai Clean Sheet 10%
FK Kauno Zalgiris Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Riteriai FK Kauno Zalgiris
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 5 16
Draws 8 8
Losses 17 4
Goals Scored 0.29 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.86 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.29 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.86 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2026 Lithuanian Cup
Riteriai vs FK Kauno Zalgiris
0:4
Apr 25, 2026 TOPLYGA
FK Kauno Zalgiris vs Riteriai
4:0
Feb 23, 2026 TOPLYGA
Riteriai vs FK Kauno Zalgiris
1:2
Sep 14, 2025 TOPLYGA
FK Kauno Zalgiris vs Riteriai
6:1
Jul 5, 2025 TOPLYGA
Riteriai vs FK Kauno Zalgiris
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Riteriai Compare

Avg xG / game 0.22
Avg xA / game 0.14

FK Kauno Zalgiris Compare

Top Goalscorer Benchaib A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leo Ribeiro
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Riteriai 10 / 100
FK Kauno Zalgiris 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Riteriai FK Kauno Zalgiris

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Riteriai scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

FK Kauno Zalgiris let in goals in 54% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Riteriai went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

FK Kauno Zalgiris lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Riteriai VS FK Kauno Zalgiris
0.29 Goals Scored 1.13
2.86 Goals Conceded 0.88
86% Over 1.5 63%
71% Over 2.5 38%
43% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Pempininkai2
Sirijus1
FK Minija3
Suduva2
FK Atmosfera2
Zalgiris1
SSPC FSK Radviliskis0
FK Panevezys2
Klaipedos FM1
BE1 NFA0
Viltis Vilnius1
Dainava Alytus7
Kursenai1
Transinvest10
Tauras Taurage1
FC Hegelmann4
Ataka Vilnius4
FK Sirvena Birzai0
Jonava0
FA Siauliai4
Neptunas0
Dziugas Telsiai2
Vilniaus Vytis0
Banga4
BFA Vilnius1
FK Babrungas0
AFK Vilnius0
Garliava3
Vilnius FA0
Riteriai1
FK Sveikata Kybartai0
FK Kauno Zalgiris3
1/8-finals
Pempininkai1
FK Minija4
FK Atmosfera0
FK Panevezys3
Klaipedos FM0
Dainava Alytus2
Transinvest2
FC Hegelmann0
Ataka Vilnius1
FA Siauliai2
Dziugas Telsiai1
Banga0
BFA Vilnius2
Garliava1
Riteriai0
FK Kauno Zalgiris4
Quarter-finals
FK Minija2
FK Panevezys1
Dainava Alytus2
Transinvest1
FA Siauliai2
Dziugas Telsiai1
BFA Vilnius0
FK Kauno Zalgiris3
Semi-finals
FK Minija-
Dainava Alytus-
FA Siauliai-
FK Kauno Zalgiris-
Final
TBD-
TBD-