Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Riteriai vs Suduva

Lithuania Lithuania

TOPLYGA LFF stadionas, Vilnius
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Mikulenas M.
Assist: Steponavicius F.
30'
Sabo A.
45' Event
Steponavicius F.
Assist: Mikulenas M.

AI Match Summary

Suduva in this TOPLYGA matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Suduva.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Riteriai
20%
Draws
80%
Suduva
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Suduva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Suduva lately — more wins on the board than Riteriai.
  • Model gives Suduva a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular TOPLYGA form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Riteriai Clean Sheet 10%
Suduva Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Riteriai Suduva
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 15
Draws 8 10
Losses 17 5
Goals Scored 0.63 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.13 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 TOPLYGA
Riteriai vs Suduva
0:3
Apr 3, 2026 TOPLYGA
Suduva vs Riteriai
5:0
Oct 4, 2025 TOPLYGA
Riteriai vs Suduva
0:0
Jul 20, 2025 TOPLYGA
Suduva vs Riteriai
0:0
Jun 1, 2025 TOPLYGA
Suduva vs Riteriai
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Riteriai Compare

Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

Suduva Compare

Top Goalscorer Mikulenas M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Steponavicius F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Riteriai 10 / 100
Suduva 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Riteriai Suduva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Suduva Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Suduva let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Riteriai found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (30 games).

Suduva lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Riteriai VS Suduva
0.5 Goals Scored 2
3 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Riteriai

(Home)
12 Jun
Zalgiris
3 : 2
Riteriai
29 May
Riteriai
0 : 3
Suduva
25 May
FA Siauliai
2 : 0
Riteriai
19 May
Riteriai
0 : 4
FK Kauno Zalgiris
15 May
Riteriai
0 : 3
FK Panevezys
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Suduva

(Away)
20 Sept
FC Hegelmann
1 : 1
Suduva
13 Sept
Suduva
0 : 0
Zalgiris
09 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris
5 : 1
Suduva
06 Sept
Transinvest
1 : 2
Suduva
30 Aug
FA Siauliai
1 : 2
Suduva
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Kauno Zalgiris 28 14 9 5 56:20 51
2 Suduva 28 13 11 4 39:25 50
3 Transinvest 28 13 6 9 43:35 45
4 Zalgiris 28 13 5 10 41:34 44
5 Banga 28 11 8 9 32:28 41
6 Dziugas Telsiai 28 10 8 10 36:40 38
7 FK Panevezys 28 9 5 14 29:43 32
8 FC Hegelmann 29 4 14 11 31:48 26
9 FA Siauliai 29 3 8 18 24:58 17
10 Riteriai 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga 2027 (Main)