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Stadium Background

Rive vs Estrela do Norte

Brazil Brazil

Capixaba 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Capixaba 2 game between Rive and Estrela do Norte finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Estrela do Norte.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Rive
22%
Draws
60%
Estrela do Norte
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Estrela do Norte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Estrela do Norte carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Estrela do Norte taking it.
  • Regular Capixaba 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Rive Clean Sheet 20%
Estrela do Norte Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rive Estrela do Norte
Matches Played 1 35
Wins 0 12
Draws 0 6
Losses 1 17
Goals Scored 0 0.13
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Capixaba 2
Rive vs Estrela do Norte
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rive 20 / 100
Estrela do Norte 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rive Estrela do Norte

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EST Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estrela do Norte let in goals in 71% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Estrela do Norte's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Rive's goal record stands at 0% scoring rate across 1 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Rive VS Estrela do Norte
0 Goals Scored 0.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Doze Futebol Clube11003:03
2Linhares Futebol Clube11002:03
3GEL00000:00
4Audax Sao Mateus10010:20
5CTE Colatina10010:30
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Estrela do Norte11002:03
2Tupy11001:03
3Sport-ES00000:00
4Pinheiros10010:10
5Rive10010:20