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Rive vs Tupy

Brazil Brazil

Capixaba 2
1 - 1
FT
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Capixaba 2 game between Rive and Tupy finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Rive
30%
Draws
19%
Tupy
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rive

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tupy come out ahead of Rive on wins alone.
  • Model gives Rive a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Capixaba 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Rive Clean Sheet 20%
Tupy Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rive Tupy
Matches Played 6 30
Wins 3 7
Draws 2 11
Losses 1 12
Goals Scored 1.33 1.3
Goals Conceded 1 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Capixaba 2
Rive vs Tupy
1:1
Jul 18, 2026 Capixaba 2
Tupy vs Rive
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rive 76 / 100
Tupy 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rive Tupy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rive Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Rive scored in 83% of their last 6 outings.

Recent resilience: Rive stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Tupy conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Rive VS Tupy
1.14 Goals Scored 1.5
0.86 Goals Conceded 1.13
71% Over 1.5 63%
14% Over 2.5 38%
14% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rive

(Home)
15 Aug
Rive
1 : 1
Tupy
08 Aug
Estrela do Norte
1 : 1
Rive
01 Aug
Rive
3 : 2
Pinheiros
26 Jul
Sport-ES
0 : 1
Rive
18 Jul
Tupy
0 : 2
Rive
Page 1 of 2

Tupy

(Away)
15 Aug
Rive
1 : 1
Tupy
08 Aug
Pinheiros
1 : 4
Tupy
25 Jul
Tupy
0 : 1
Estrela do Norte
21 Jul
Sport-ES
5 : 1
Tupy
18 Jul
Tupy
0 : 2
Rive
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Linhares Futebol Clube 6 5 0 1 13:1 15
2 Audax Sao Mateus 7 4 1 2 14:5 13
3 Doze Futebol Clube 8 3 1 4 8:13 10
4 GEL 6 2 3 1 9:6 9
5 CTE Colatina 7 0 1 6 1:20 1
Promotion - Capixaba 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Estrela do Norte 7 6 1 0 20:1 19
2 Rive 7 4 2 1 10:6 14
3 Tupy 8 3 1 4 8:14 10
4 Sport-ES 7 3 0 4 10:8 9
5 Pinheiros 7 0 0 7 4:23 0
Promotion - Capixaba 2 (Play Offs)