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River Ebro vs Arnedo

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Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Ruiz A.
53' Event
Fernandez U.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
River Ebro
15%
Draws
53%
Arnedo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arnedo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Arnedo lately — more wins on the board than River Ebro.
  • Arnedo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
River Ebro Clean Sheet 10%
Arnedo Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric River Ebro Arnedo
Matches Played 30 40
Wins 6 26
Draws 7 10
Losses 17 4
Goals Scored 0.83 2.15
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 2.42
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
River Ebro vs Arnedo
1:1
Nov 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Arnedo vs River Ebro
4:0
Mar 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Arnedo vs River Ebro
3:3
Oct 22, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
River Ebro vs Arnedo
2:1
Mar 13, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
River Ebro vs Arnedo
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

River Ebro Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez U.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Arnedo Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruiz A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.2
Avg xA / game 1.34

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

River Ebro 10 / 100
Arnedo 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
River Ebro Arnedo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arnedo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

River Ebro found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Arnedo has conceded goals in 55% of their last 40 outings.

Solid form: River Ebro remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Arnedo
0 Goals Scored 3.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

River Ebro

(Home)
11 May
River Ebro
0 : 2
Vianes
04 May
Pena Balsamaiso
0 : 1
River Ebro
27 Apr
River Ebro
3 : 1
Berceo
16 Apr
Casalarreina CF
3 : 1
River Ebro
12 Apr
River Ebro
0 : 2
Varea
Page 1 of 6

Arnedo

(Away)
20 Jun
Arnedo
2 : 0
CD Tropezon
13 Jun
CD Tropezon
1 : 0
Arnedo
07 Jun
Arnedo
3 : 2
Oyonesa
31 May
Oyonesa
0 : 0
Arnedo
24 May
Arnedo
1 : 0
CD Calahorra
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Naxara 34 30 3 1 107:12 93
2 UD Logrones B 34 25 4 5 91:29 79
3 Varea 34 20 8 6 65:35 68
4 Arnedo 34 18 7 9 64:35 61
5 Oyonesa 34 16 8 10 52:36 56
6 CDFC La Calzada 34 15 9 10 45:31 54
7 CD Calahorra B 34 12 13 9 51:43 49
8 Pena Balsamaiso 34 14 5 15 46:52 47
9 Yague 34 11 12 11 41:66 45
10 Agoncillo 34 10 12 12 36:44 42
11 Berceo 34 11 7 16 40:47 40
12 Comillas CF 34 11 4 19 40:52 37
13 Haro Deportivo 34 9 9 16 32:54 36
14 Vianes 34 9 6 19 30:44 33
15 Autol 34 7 10 17 27:58 31
16 Casalarreina CF 34 8 4 22 36:88 28
17 River Ebro 34 7 7 20 29:59 28
18 CD Tedeon 34 4 10 20 26:73 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2024/2025 (Play Offs)