Sport Picks

Stadium Background

River Melilla vs Atarfe Industrial

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 9 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 9 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
River Melilla
15%
Draws
85%
Atarfe Industrial
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atarfe Industrial

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Atarfe Industrial lately — more wins on the board than River Melilla.
  • Atarfe Industrial are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 9 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
River Melilla Clean Sheet 10%
Atarfe Industrial Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric River Melilla Atarfe Industrial
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 8
Draws 0 6
Losses 28 16
Goals Scored 0.67 1.17
Goals Conceded 3.2 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
River Melilla vs Atarfe Industrial
0:2
Oct 20, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Atarfe Industrial vs River Melilla
2:1
Jan 14, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
River Melilla vs Atarfe Industrial
1:1
Sep 10, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Atarfe Industrial vs River Melilla
3:0
Apr 2, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
River Melilla vs Atarfe Industrial
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

River Melilla 10 / 100
Atarfe Industrial 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
River Melilla Atarfe Industrial

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atarfe Industrial Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atarfe Industrial let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Atarfe Industrial's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

River Melilla found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

River Melilla VS Atarfe Industrial
0.5 Goals Scored 1.38
3.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

River Melilla

(Home)
19 May
UD San Pedro
3 : 2
River Melilla
11 May
River Melilla
0 : 3
Antequera
04 May
Torremolinos
5 : 0
River Melilla
01 May
River Melilla
2 : 5
Loja
27 Apr
River Melilla
1 : 5
Alhaurin
Page 1 of 6

Atarfe Industrial

(Away)
17 Nov
Huracan Melilla
2 : 1
Atarfe Industrial
18 Aug
Motril
2 : 0
Atarfe Industrial
19 May
CP Almeria
0 : 1
Atarfe Industrial
12 May
Atarfe Industrial
0 : 3
CD Torreperogil
05 May
Mancha
4 : 2
Atarfe Industrial
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malaga B 38 28 6 4 107:34 90
2 Antequera 38 23 6 9 70:38 75
3 Almeria B 38 21 8 9 61:36 71
4 Huetor Tajar 38 21 8 9 73:48 71
5 Motril 38 21 7 10 71:43 70
6 Loja 38 20 6 12 63:41 66
7 Rincon 38 16 9 13 49:52 57
8 El Palo 38 16 8 14 64:57 56
9 Martos 38 15 8 15 57:54 53
10 Guadix 38 14 9 15 47:51 51
11 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 38 14 6 18 41:51 48
12 Maracena 38 12 10 16 50:54 46
13 UD San Pedro 37 11 12 14 42:49 45
14 Atarfe Industrial 37 11 12 14 42:59 45
15 Velez 38 12 8 18 44:64 44
16 Huetor Vega 38 10 14 14 45:55 44
17 River Melilla 38 10 10 18 47:67 40
18 CD Alhaurino 38 7 10 21 37:67 31
19 Dos Hermanas 38 7 7 24 48:88 28
20 Alhaurin 38 3 10 25 39:89 19
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)