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River-PI vs Ferroviario-PI

Brazil Brazil

Piauiense 2023
Wed, Jan 11, 2023
3 - 0
10:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

River-PI host Ferroviario-PI in the Piauiense 2023. River-PI are expected to control this from the start. Recent numbers: River-PI at 2.13 goals for, 1.25 against; Ferroviario-PI at 0 for, 0 against. Past meetings favor River-PI slightly — 2-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 12, 2023, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring River-PI. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
River-PI
6%
Draws
4%
Ferroviario-PI
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: River-PI

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • River-PI carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on River-PI taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
River-PI Clean Sheet 20%
Ferroviario-PI Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric River-PI Ferroviario-PI
Matches Played 41 14
Wins 15 0
Draws 12 0
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 2.13 0
Goals Conceded 1.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2023 Piauiense
Ferroviario-PI vs River-PI
0:3
Jan 11, 2023 Piauiense
River-PI vs Ferroviario-PI
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

River-PI 85 / 100
Ferroviario-PI 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
River-PI Ferroviario-PI

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RIV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferroviario-PI lost 5 of their last 5 games.

River-PI scored in 71% of their last 41 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

River-PI has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

River-PI VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

River-PI

(Home)
01 Mar
Piaui
2 : 0
River-PI
22 Feb
River-PI
1 : 0
Piaui
17 Feb
River-PI
1 : 1
Fluminense-PI
08 Feb
AE Altos
1 : 0
River-PI
03 Feb
River-PI
1 : 1
Atletico-PI
Page 1 of 9

Ferroviario-PI

(Away)
22 Mar
Ferroviario-PI
0 : 3
AE Altos
08 Mar
Julho Esporte
3 : 0
Ferroviario-PI
04 Mar
Ferroviario-PI
0 : 3
Fluminense-PI
01 Mar
Parnahyba
3 : 0
Ferroviario-PI
18 Feb
Ferroviario-PI
0 : 3
Corisabba
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1River-PI1494129:1131
2Fluminense-PI1494124:931
3AE Altos1474321:1025
4Parnahyba1448217:1120
5Julho Esporte1444614:1416
6Corisabba1444620:1813
7Comercial PI1450913:2312
8Ferroviario-PI1400140:420
Promotion - Piauiense 2023 (Play Offs)