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River-PI vs Julho Esporte

Brazil Brazil

Piauiense 2024
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Match Events

19' Event
Crislan
(Penalty)
29' Event
Eddy Silva
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Piauiense 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
River-PI
30%
Draws
39%
Julho Esporte
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Julho Esporte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • River-PI have won more games recently than Julho Esporte.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Piauiense 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
River-PI Clean Sheet 68%
Julho Esporte Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric River-PI Julho Esporte
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 9 7
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.26 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2024 Piauiense
River-PI vs Julho Esporte
1:1
Jan 27, 2024 Piauiense
Julho Esporte vs River-PI
0:1
Feb 15, 2023 Piauiense
River-PI vs Julho Esporte
2:1
Jan 15, 2023 Piauiense
Julho Esporte vs River-PI
1:1
Mar 25, 2022 Piauiense
River-PI vs Julho Esporte
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

River-PI 42 / 100
Julho Esporte 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
River-PI Julho Esporte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

River-PI scored in 71% of their last 34 games.

Defensive concern: Julho Esporte conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Solid form: River-PI remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

River-PI VS Julho Esporte
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

River-PI

(Home)
19 Sept
Comercial PI
2 : 1
River-PI
12 Sept
River-PI
2 : 2
Flamengo PI
08 Sept
Caicara
1 : 3
River-PI
05 Sept
River-PI
0 : 3
Picos
01 Mar
Piaui
2 : 0
River-PI
Page 1 of 7

Julho Esporte

(Away)
19 Sept
Julho Esporte
3 : 3
Picos
16 Sept
Comercial PI
1 : 1
Julho Esporte
09 Sept
Flamengo PI
1 : 0
Julho Esporte
05 Sept
Julho Esporte
3 : 0
Caicara
02 Mar
AE Altos
4 : 0
Julho Esporte
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 River-PI 6 4 1 1 10:4 13
2 AE Altos 6 3 2 1 7:6 11
3 Julho Esporte 6 2 1 3 6:7 7
4 Picos 6 0 2 4 5:11 2
Promotion - Piauiense 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oeirense 6 4 1 1 6:2 13
2 Parnahyba 6 3 2 1 7:3 11
3 Fluminense-PI 6 2 2 2 8:5 8
4 Corisabba 6 0 1 5 2:13 1
Promotion - Piauiense 2024 (Second stage)