Sport Picks

Stadium Background

River-PI vs Piaui

Brazil Brazil

Piauiense 2025 Estadio Governador Alberto Tavares Silva (Albertao), Teresina
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
da Silva Filho W.
79'
Alysson Caucaia
79'
Alysson Caucaia

AI Match Summary

River-PI in this Piauiense 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored River-PI.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
River-PI
20%
Draws
51%
Piaui
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Piaui

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Piaui have won more games recently than River-PI.
  • Piaui are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
River-PI Clean Sheet 20%
Piaui Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric River-PI Piaui
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 16
Draws 9 5
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.03 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.37 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2025 Piauiense
Piaui vs River-PI
2:0
Feb 22, 2025 Piauiense
River-PI vs Piaui
1:0
Nov 11, 2020 Piauiense
Piaui vs River-PI
0:3
Jan 26, 2020 Piauiense
River-PI vs Piaui
1:1
Mar 27, 2019 Piauiense
River-PI vs Piaui
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

River-PI Compare

Top Goalscorer da Silva Filho W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Piaui Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

River-PI 24 / 100
Piaui 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
River-PI Piaui

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Piaui Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

River-PI found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Piaui let in goals in 63% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

River-PI has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Piaui
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

River-PI

(Home)
01 Mar
Piaui
2 : 0
River-PI
22 Feb
River-PI
1 : 0
Piaui
17 Feb
River-PI
1 : 1
Fluminense-PI
08 Feb
AE Altos
1 : 0
River-PI
03 Feb
River-PI
1 : 1
Atletico-PI
Page 1 of 6

Piaui

(Away)
27 Jun
Piaui
1 : 0
Maguary
21 Jun
Maguary
2 : 0
Piaui
13 Jun
Piaui
2 : 1
Tirol
01 Jun
Atletico Cearense
0 : 1
Piaui
23 May
Piaui
0 : 1
Fluminense-PI
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AE Altos 8 4 3 1 12:4 15
2 Piaui 8 4 2 2 9:7 14
3 Parnahyba 8 4 1 3 12:10 13
4 Fluminense-PI 8 3 3 2 9:7 12
5 Atletico-PI 8 2 4 2 11:10 10
6 Oeirense 8 2 3 3 8:8 9
7 Julho Esporte 8 2 2 4 10:16 8
8 River-PI 8 1 2 5 5:14 5
Promotion - Piauiense 2025 (Play Offs)