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River-PI vs Picos

Brazil Brazil

Piauiense 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Ju Alagoano
45' Event
Felipe Para
83' Event
Pereira I. F.

AI Match Summary

The Piauiense 2024 game between River-PI and Picos finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward River-PI.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
River-PI
33%
Draws
27%
Picos
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: River-PI

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • River-PI carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on River-PI taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • River-PI have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
River-PI Clean Sheet 68%
Picos Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric River-PI Picos
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 13 4
Draws 12 10
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.25 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.60

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2024 Piauiense
Picos vs River-PI
1:2
Jan 13, 2024 Piauiense
River-PI vs Picos
3:0
Apr 21, 2021 Piauiense
River-PI vs Picos
3:2
Feb 24, 2021 Piauiense
Picos vs River-PI
0:1
Mar 11, 2020 Piauiense
River-PI vs Picos
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

River-PI Compare

Top Goalscorer Ju Alagoano
1 Goals
Assists Leader Felipe Para
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Picos Compare

Avg xG / game 0.73
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

River-PI 50 / 100
Picos 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
River-PI Picos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RIV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Picos has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: River-PI scored in 72% of their last 39 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

River-PI went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

River-PI VS Picos
1.25 Goals Scored 0.8
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.6
63% Over 1.5 60%
63% Over 2.5 60%
25% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

River-PI

(Home)
01 Mar
Piaui
2 : 0
River-PI
22 Feb
River-PI
1 : 0
Piaui
17 Feb
River-PI
1 : 1
Fluminense-PI
08 Feb
AE Altos
1 : 0
River-PI
03 Feb
River-PI
1 : 1
Atletico-PI
Page 1 of 8

Picos

(Away)
18 Oct
Corisabba
1 : 0
Picos
11 Oct
Picos
0 : 0
TEC
04 Oct
Flamengo PI
3 : 0
Picos
01 Oct
Picos
2 : 2
Caicara
27 Sept
Picos
2 : 2
Comercial PI
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1River-PI641110:413
2AE Altos63217:611
3Julho Esporte62136:77
4Picos60245:112
Promotion - Piauiense 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Oeirense64116:213
2Parnahyba63217:311
3Fluminense-PI62228:58
4Corisabba60152:131
Promotion - Piauiense 2024 (Second stage)