Sport Picks

Stadium Background

River-PI vs Picos

Brazil Brazil

Piauiense 2024
River-PI Logo

River-PI

3 - 0
FT
Picos Logo

Picos

Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Ju Alagoano
45' Event
Felipe Para
83' Event
Pereira I. F.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Piauiense 2024 game between River-PI and Picos finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward River-PI.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
River-PI
20%
Draws
47%
Picos
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Picos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • River-PI carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Picos taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • River-PI have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
River-PI Clean Sheet 20%
Picos Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric River-PI Picos
Matches Played 41 28
Wins 17 6
Draws 11 8
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.56 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Piauiense 2
River-PI vs Picos
0:3
Jan 30, 2024 Piauiense
Picos vs River-PI
1:2
Jan 13, 2024 Piauiense
River-PI vs Picos
3:0
Apr 21, 2021 Piauiense
River-PI vs Picos
3:2
Feb 24, 2021 Piauiense
Picos vs River-PI
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

River-PI Compare

Top Goalscorer Ju Alagoano
1 Goals
Assists Leader Felipe Para
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Picos Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

River-PI 10 / 100
Picos 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
River-PI Picos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Picos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Picos has conceded goals in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Attacking prowess: River-PI scored in 73% of their last 41 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

River-PI went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

River-PI VS Picos
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

River-PI

(Home)
12 Sept
River-PI
2 : 2
Flamengo PI
08 Sept
Caicara
1 : 3
River-PI
05 Sept
River-PI
0 : 3
Picos
01 Mar
Piaui
2 : 0
River-PI
22 Feb
River-PI
1 : 0
Piaui
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Picos

(Away)
15 Sept
Caicara
1 : 5
Picos
12 Sept
Picos
2 : 1
Comercial PI
05 Sept
River-PI
0 : 3
Picos
18 Oct
Corisabba
1 : 0
Picos
11 Oct
Picos
0 : 0
TEC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 River-PI 6 4 1 1 10:4 13
2 AE Altos 6 3 2 1 7:6 11
3 Julho Esporte 6 2 1 3 6:7 7
4 Picos 6 0 2 4 5:11 2
Promotion - Piauiense 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oeirense 6 4 1 1 6:2 13
2 Parnahyba 6 3 2 1 7:3 11
3 Fluminense-PI 6 2 2 2 8:5 8
4 Corisabba 6 0 1 5 2:13 1
Promotion - Piauiense 2024 (Second stage)