Sport Picks
River Plate vs Aldosivi
Argentina
Liga Profesional Estadio Monumental, Buenos Aires 
Match Events
17'
17'
Garcia M.
24'
24'
Sub
Garcia M. In: Fernandez T.
Out: Garcia M.
35'
35'
Fernandez T.
AI Match Summary
The Liga Profesional game between River Plate and Aldosivi finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward River Plate.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: River Plate
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Aldosivi haven't matched River Plate's recent run of results.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on River Plate taking it.
- Regular Liga Profesional form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- River Plate have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
River Plate Clean Sheet 68%
Aldosivi Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | River Plate | Aldosivi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 5 |
| Draws | 5 | 10 |
| Losses | 10 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 18, 2026 Copa Argentina
River Plate vs Aldosivi
1:3
Apr 26, 2026 Liga Profesional
River Plate vs Aldosivi
3:1
Jul 24, 2022 Liga Profesional
Aldosivi vs River Plate
0:3
Aug 27, 2021 Liga Profesional
River Plate vs Aldosivi
2:0
May 9, 2021 Copa de la Liga Profesional
River Plate vs Aldosivi
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
River Plate Compare
Top Goalscorer Galoppo G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Colidio F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Aldosivi Compare
Top Goalscorer Fernandez T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
River Plate 77 / 100
Aldosivi 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
River Plate Aldosivi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick River Plate Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.
River Plate scored in 77% of their last 31 games.
Aldosivi has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Recent resilience: River Plate stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
River Plate VS Aldosivi
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
River Plate
(Home) 19 Sept
River Plate
1 : 2 Huracan
12 Sept
Atl. Tucuman
1 : 2 River Plate
06 Sept
River Plate
3 : 1 Ind. Rivadavia
30 Aug
Banfield
2 : 3 River Plate
27 Aug
River Plate
1 : 2 Santa Fe
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
River Plate
1 : 2 Huracan
06 Sept
River Plate
3 : 1 Ind. Rivadavia
27 Aug
River Plate
1 : 2 Santa Fe
23 Aug
River Plate
2 : 2 Velez Sarsfield
16 Aug
River Plate
2 : 0 Argentinos Jrs
Page 1 of 4
Aldosivi
(Away) 21 Sept
Aldosivi
1 : 0 Atl. Tucuman
12 Sept
Ind. Rivadavia
4 : 3 Aldosivi
05 Sept
Aldosivi
3 : 1 Banfield
30 Aug
Argentinos Jrs
2 : 1 Aldosivi
26 Aug
Aldosivi
0 : 2 Ind. Rivadavia
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Ind. Rivadavia
4 : 3 Aldosivi
30 Aug
Argentinos Jrs
2 : 1 Aldosivi
07 Aug
Rosario Central
2 : 1 Aldosivi
29 Jul
Barracas Central
1 : 0 Aldosivi
24 Jul
Defensa y Justicia
1 : 1 Aldosivi
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | 31 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18:12 | 28 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | 24 |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | 24 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 22 |
| 8 | Union de Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 21 |
| 9 | Instituto | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 21 |
| 10 | Defensa y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:21 | 19 |
| 11 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | 19 |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:27 | 15 |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | 11 |
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Apertura - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29:15 | 34 |
| 2 | River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22:12 | 29 |
| 3 | Argentinos Jrs | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17:13 | 29 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 28 |
| 5 | CA Belgrano de Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 26 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P. | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:19 | 26 |
| 7 | Huracan | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 17:13 | 22 |
| 8 | Racing Club | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:15 | 21 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15:15 | 21 |
| 10 | Tigre | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18:15 | 20 |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 13:20 | 19 |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17:19 | 18 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15:20 | 14 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6:19 | 8 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5:24 | 5 |
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Apertura - Play Offs)
