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Stadium Background

River Plate vs Blooming

South America South America

Copa Sudamericana Estadio Monumental, Buenos Aires
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Salas M.
Penalty Missed
57' Event
Salas M.
Assist: Martinez Quarta L.
60'
Salas M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. This leg finished 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
River Plate
15%
Draws
37%
Blooming
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: River Plate

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to River Plate lately — more wins on the board than Blooming.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Blooming taking it.
  • River Plate have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor River Plate, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
River Plate Clean Sheet 11%
Blooming Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric River Plate Blooming
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 16 6
Draws 5 10
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.48 1.24
Goals Conceded 1 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
River Plate vs Blooming
3:0
Apr 9, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Blooming vs River Plate
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

River Plate Compare

Top Goalscorer Salas M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Silva L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Blooming Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

River Plate 27 / 100
Blooming 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
River Plate Blooming

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Blooming Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Blooming let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: River Plate scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: River Plate remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

River Plate VS Blooming
1.75 Goals Scored 2.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

River Plate

(Home)
19 Sept
River Plate
1 : 2
Huracan
12 Sept
Atl. Tucuman
1 : 2
River Plate
06 Sept
River Plate
3 : 1
Ind. Rivadavia
30 Aug
Banfield
2 : 3
River Plate
27 Aug
River Plate
1 : 2
Santa Fe
Page 1 of 7

Blooming

(Away)
20 Sept
Oriente Petrolero
3 : 1
Blooming
17 Sept
Blooming
1 : 1
Club Universitario de Vinto
12 Sept
Blooming
6 : 1
Academia del Balompie
10 Sept
Blooming
5 : 1
GV San Jose
07 Sept
Nacional Potosi
2 : 1
Blooming
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Macara 6 2 4 0 6:3 10
2 Tigre 6 2 3 1 8:5 9
3 America De Cali 6 2 3 1 6:5 9
4 Alianza Atl. 6 0 2 4 2:9 2
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico-MG 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
2 Cienciano 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
3 Juventud 6 1 4 1 10:7 7
4 Academia Puerto Cabello 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Paulo 6 3 3 0 6:1 12
2 O Higgins 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
3 Millonarios 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
4 Boston River 6 1 0 5 5:12 3
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Recoleta 6 1 5 0 6:5 8
2 Santos 6 1 4 1 8:6 7
3 San Lorenzo 6 1 4 1 6:5 7
4 Dep. Cuenca 6 1 3 2 3:7 6
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo RJ 6 5 1 0 15:5 16
2 Caracas 6 2 3 1 9:9 9
3 Racing Club 6 2 2 2 11:9 8
4 Independiente 6 0 0 6 3:15 0
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montevideo City 6 4 1 1 11:5 13
2 Gremio 6 3 2 1 8:3 11
3 Deportivo Riestra 6 1 2 3 4:10 5
4 Palestino 6 0 3 3 1:6 3
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia Asuncion 6 4 1 1 10:6 13
2 Vasco 6 3 1 2 10:6 10
3 A. Italiano 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
4 Barracas Central 6 0 3 3 2:8 3
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 River Plate 6 4 2 0 9:3 14
2 Bragantino 6 3 1 2 12:5 10
3 Carabobo 6 3 0 3 6:5 9
4 Blooming 6 0 1 5 3:17 1
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)