Sport Picks
River Plate vs San Lorenzo Prediction & H2H Stats
Argentina
Liga Profesional Estadio Monumental, Buenos Aires 
Match Events
13'
13'
Herrera E.
31'
31'
Reali M.
37'
37'
Auzmendi R.
Assist: Barrios N.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-2. The second leg ended 3-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: River Plate
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- San Lorenzo haven't matched River Plate's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans River Plate's way, sitting at 60%.
- River Plate have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor River Plate, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
River Plate Clean Sheet 68%
San Lorenzo Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | River Plate | San Lorenzo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 7 |
| Draws | 5 | 12 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 10, 2026 Liga Profesional
River Plate vs San Lorenzo
3:2
Jul 27, 2025 Liga Profesional
River Plate vs San Lorenzo
0:0
Feb 2, 2025 Liga Profesional
San Lorenzo vs River Plate
0:0
Dec 5, 2024 Liga Profesional
River Plate vs San Lorenzo
1:1
Jul 8, 2023 Liga Profesional
San Lorenzo vs River Plate
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
River Plate Compare
Top Goalscorer Acuna M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Quintero J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
San Lorenzo Compare
Top Goalscorer Auzmendi R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Lopez F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
River Plate 68 / 100
San Lorenzo 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
River Plate San Lorenzo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick River Plate Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
River Plate's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Solid form: River Plate remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
San Lorenzo has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
River Plate VS San Lorenzo
1 Goals Scored 0.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
River Plate
(Home) 19 Sept
River Plate
1 : 2 Huracan
12 Sept
Atl. Tucuman
1 : 2 River Plate
06 Sept
River Plate
3 : 1 Ind. Rivadavia
30 Aug
Banfield
2 : 3 River Plate
27 Aug
River Plate
1 : 2 Santa Fe
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
River Plate
1 : 2 Huracan
06 Sept
River Plate
3 : 1 Ind. Rivadavia
27 Aug
River Plate
1 : 2 Santa Fe
23 Aug
River Plate
2 : 2 Velez Sarsfield
16 Aug
River Plate
2 : 0 Argentinos Jrs
Page 1 of 4
San Lorenzo
(Away) 20 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 2 Boca Juniors
13 Sept
Independiente
1 : 1 San Lorenzo
05 Sept
San Lorenzo
1 : 0 Talleres Cordoba
01 Sept
Instituto
1 : 0 San Lorenzo
21 Aug
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
0 : 0 San Lorenzo
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Independiente
1 : 1 San Lorenzo
01 Sept
Instituto
1 : 0 San Lorenzo
21 Aug
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
0 : 0 San Lorenzo
04 Aug
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)
1 : 0 San Lorenzo
26 Jul
Lanus
1 : 0 San Lorenzo
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
Rosario Central 3
Independiente 1
Estudiantes L.P. 0
Racing Club 1
River Plate 3
San Lorenzo 2
Velez Sarsfield 0
Gimnasia L.P. 1
Talleres Cordoba 0
CA Belgrano de Cordoba 1
Ind. Rivadavia 1
Union de Santa Fe 2
Argentinos Jrs 2
Lanus 0
Boca Juniors 2
Huracan 3
Quarter-finals
Rosario Central 2
Racing Club 1
River Plate 2
Gimnasia L.P. 0
CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2
Union de Santa Fe 0
Argentinos Jrs 1
Huracan 0
Semi-finals
Rosario Central 0
River Plate 1
CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2
Argentinos Jrs 1
Final
River Plate 2
CA Belgrano de Cordoba 3
