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Riverside Olympic vs Clarence Zebras

Australia Australia

NPL Tasmania 2025 Windsor Park
Our Tip

Match Events

73' Event
Owusu D.

AI Match Summary

Riverside Olympic in this NPL Tasmania 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Riverside Olympic.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Riverside Olympic
22%
Draws
18%
Clarence Zebras
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Riverside Olympic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Riverside Olympic have won more games recently than Clarence Zebras.
  • Riverside Olympic are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Riverside Olympic here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Riverside Olympic Clean Sheet 14%
Clarence Zebras Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Riverside Olympic Clarence Zebras
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 7
Draws 2 4
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 1.88 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Clarence Zebras vs Riverside Olympic
4:0
Aug 16, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Riverside Olympic vs Clarence Zebras
1:0
Jun 21, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Clarence Zebras vs Riverside Olympic
0:4
Apr 12, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Riverside Olympic vs Clarence Zebras
2:0
Sep 7, 2024 NPL Tasmania
Clarence Zebras vs Riverside Olympic
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Riverside Olympic Compare

Top Goalscorer Owusu D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Clarence Zebras Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Riverside Olympic 57 / 100
Clarence Zebras 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Riverside Olympic Clarence Zebras

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RIV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Clarence Zebras let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Riverside Olympic scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Riverside Olympic stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Riverside Olympic VS Clarence Zebras
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%