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Riverside Olympic vs Clarence Zebras

Australia Australia

NPL Tasmania Windsor Park
Sat, Jul 18, 2026
VS
04:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Riverside Olympic host Clarence Zebras in the NPL Tasmania. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Riverside Olympic at 1.88 goals for, 1.5 against; Clarence Zebras at 1.75 for, 1.63 against. Past meetings favor Riverside Olympic slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 4:0. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 1.63) point toward Riverside Olympic. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Riverside Olympic
22%
Draws
18%
Clarence Zebras
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Riverside Olympic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Riverside Olympic lately — more wins on the board than Clarence Zebras.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Riverside Olympic taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Riverside Olympic have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Riverside Olympic Clean Sheet 14%
Clarence Zebras Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Riverside Olympic Clarence Zebras
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 7
Draws 2 4
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 1.88 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Clarence Zebras vs Riverside Olympic
4:0
Aug 16, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Riverside Olympic vs Clarence Zebras
1:0
Jun 21, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Clarence Zebras vs Riverside Olympic
0:4
Apr 12, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Riverside Olympic vs Clarence Zebras
2:0
Sep 7, 2024 NPL Tasmania
Clarence Zebras vs Riverside Olympic
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Riverside Olympic 57 / 100
Clarence Zebras 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Riverside Olympic Clarence Zebras

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RIV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Clarence Zebras conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Riverside Olympic found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Riverside Olympic stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Riverside Olympic VS Clarence Zebras
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%