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Riverside Olympic vs Kingborough Lions

Australia Australia

NPL Tasmania Windsor Park, Launceston
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Tebeje S.
(Penalty)
79' Event
Moon Seong-min
Own Goal
84' Event
Pitt R.

AI Match Summary

Kingborough Lions in this NPL Tasmania matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kingborough Lions.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Riverside Olympic
15%
Draws
59%
Kingborough Lions
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kingborough Lions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kingborough Lions lately — more wins on the board than Riverside Olympic.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Kingborough Lions taking it.
  • Regular NPL Tasmania form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Kingborough Lions here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Riverside Olympic Clean Sheet 10%
Kingborough Lions Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Riverside Olympic Kingborough Lions
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 22
Draws 3 3
Losses 17 7
Goals Scored 1.5 2.59
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Riverside Olympic vs Kingborough Lions
0:3
Mar 7, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Kingborough Lions vs Riverside Olympic
1:0
Aug 9, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Kingborough Lions vs Riverside Olympic
2:0
Jun 14, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Riverside Olympic vs Kingborough Lions
1:3
Apr 5, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Kingborough Lions vs Riverside Olympic
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Riverside Olympic Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Kingborough Lions Compare

Top Goalscorer Pitt R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Riverside Olympic 10 / 100
Kingborough Lions 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Riverside Olympic Kingborough Lions

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kingborough Lions Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Riverside Olympic scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Kingborough Lions has conceded goals in 66% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Riverside Olympic went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Riverside Olympic VS Kingborough Lions
1.75 Goals Scored 2.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Riverside Olympic

(Home)
08 Aug
South Hobart
5 : 2
Riverside Olympic
01 Aug
South East United
3 : 1
Riverside Olympic
25 Jul
Riverside Olympic
0 : 0
Launceston City
18 Jul
Riverside Olympic
2 : 4
Clarence Zebras
10 Jul
Launceston United
0 : 1
Riverside Olympic
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Kingborough Lions

(Away)
29 Aug
South Hobart
4 : 2
Kingborough Lions
22 Aug
Kingborough Lions
5 : 0
Launceston City
15 Aug
Devonport
2 : 1
Kingborough Lions
08 Aug
Kingborough Lions
3 : 1
Clarence Zebras
01 Aug
Kingborough Lions
2 : 0
Launceston United
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