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Rizespor vs Fenerbahce - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

Super Lig Çaykur Didi Stadyumu, Rize
Rizespor Logo

Rizespor

0 - 3
FT
Fenerbahce Logo

Fenerbahce

Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Asensio M.
Assist: Akturkoglu K.
59'
Sub
Asensio M. In: Kahveci I.
Out: Asensio M.
66'
Sub
Kutucu A. In: Doicaru I.
Out: Kutucu A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Super Lig game between Rizespor and Fenerbahce finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fenerbahce.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Rizespor
30%
Draws
31%
Fenerbahce
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rizespor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Rizespor haven't matched Fenerbahce's recent run of results.
  • Fenerbahce are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Super Lig form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Fenerbahce here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Rizespor Clean Sheet 20%
Fenerbahce Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rizespor Fenerbahce
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 14 22
Draws 7 8
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.53 2.23
Goals Conceded 1.27 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Super Lig
Rizespor vs Fenerbahce
0:3
Apr 17, 2026 Super Lig
Fenerbahce vs Rizespor
2:2
Nov 23, 2025 Super Lig
Rizespor vs Fenerbahce
2:5
Feb 2, 2025 Super Lig
Fenerbahce vs Rizespor
3:2
Aug 25, 2024 Super Lig
Rizespor vs Fenerbahce
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rizespor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Fenerbahce Compare

Top Goalscorer Asensio M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kahveci I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rizespor 24 / 100
Fenerbahce 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rizespor Fenerbahce

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fenerbahce Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.80 goals per match.

Rizespor scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Fenerbahce has conceded goals in 60% of their last 35 outings.

Recent resilience: Rizespor stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rizespor VS Fenerbahce
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rizespor

(Home)
03 Oct
Rizespor
3 : 0
Boluspor
20 Sept
Goztepe
2 : 2
Rizespor
12 Sept
Eyupspor
0 : 2
Rizespor
07 Sept
Rizespor
0 : 1
Alanyaspor
29 Aug
Gaziantep
1 : 2
Rizespor
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Fenerbahce

(Away)
03 Oct
Turan
0 : 2
Fenerbahce
20 Sept
Fenerbahce
8 : 0
Eyupspor
14 Sept
Gaziantep
0 : 0
Fenerbahce
10 Sept
Fenerbahce
1 : 1
AS Roma
05 Sept
Fenerbahce
1 : 2
Besiktas
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Galatasaray 7 5 1 1 16:11 16
2 Amedspor 7 4 2 1 17:9 14
3 Besiktas 6 4 0 2 14:7 12
4 Kocaelispor 6 4 0 2 7:4 12
5 Alanyaspor 6 3 2 1 8:6 11
6 Fenerbahce 6 3 1 2 16:6 10
7 Trabzonspor 6 3 1 2 13:5 10
8 Rizespor 6 3 1 2 7:6 10
9 Kasimpasa 7 2 4 1 8:8 10
10 Gaziantep 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
11 Genclerbirligi 7 2 2 3 7:15 8
12 Corum FK 6 2 1 3 13:12 7
13 Basaksehir 6 2 1 3 10:11 7
14 Erzurumspor FK 6 2 1 3 3:11 7
15 Konyaspor 6 1 1 4 4:8 4
16 Samsunspor 6 1 1 4 6:12 4
17 Goztepe 6 0 3 3 11:15 3
18 Eyupspor 6 1 0 5 2:16 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)