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Rizespor vs Gaziantep

Turkey Turkey

Turkish Cup Çaykur Didi Stadyumu
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Dervisoglu H.
Assist: Zeqiri A.
4'
Lungoyi C.
20'
Kulasin E.

AI Match Summary

The Turkish Cup game between Rizespor and Gaziantep finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rizespor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Rizespor
28%
Draws
22%
Gaziantep
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Rizespor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rizespor come out ahead of Gaziantep on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Rizespor's way, sitting at 50%.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal Turkish Cup game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Rizespor Clean Sheet 14%
Gaziantep Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rizespor Gaziantep
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.5 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2026 Super Lig
Rizespor vs Gaziantep
2:1
Dec 17, 2025 Turkish Cup
Rizespor vs Gaziantep
5:2
Nov 8, 2025 Super Lig
Gaziantep vs Rizespor
2:2
May 3, 2025 Super Lig
Rizespor vs Gaziantep
2:0
Dec 9, 2024 Super Lig
Gaziantep vs Rizespor
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rizespor Compare

Top Goalscorer Dervisoglu H.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Bulut E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Gaziantep Compare

Top Goalscorer Sorescu D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guler S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rizespor 48 / 100
Gaziantep 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rizespor Gaziantep

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RIZ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gaziantep has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Rizespor's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Rizespor stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rizespor VS Gaziantep
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Galatasaray44008:312
2Trabzonspor430113:49
3Alanyaspor42118:47
4Basaksehir42028:76
5F. Karagumruk41215:65
6Boluspor40221:62
7Istanbulspor AS40222:92
8Fethiyespor40131:71
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Samsunspor440012:312
2Konyaspor44009:112
3Genclerbirligi43109:510
4Igdir FK41219:45
5Eyupspor41125:64
6Bodrumspor40133:71
7Aliaga40135:161
8Antalyaspor40040:100
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Besiktas431010:310
2Fenerbahce43019:39
3Erzurumspor FK42028:86
4Gaziantep42028:106
5Kocaelispor41124:44
6Rizespor41127:94
7Beyoglu Yeni Carsi41123:54
8Keciorengucu41036:133