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Rizespor vs Kasimpasa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

Super Lig Çaykur Didi Stadyumu, Rize
Fri, Nov 27, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rizespor host Kasimpasa in the Super Lig. Little to choose between these two on current form. Kasimpasa have shipped 1.14 goals a game lately, while Rizespor have conceded 1.37 and scored 1.47. Past meetings favor Kasimpasa slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 28, 2026, ending 0:3. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.56) point toward Kasimpasa. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Rizespor
20%
Draws
57%
Kasimpasa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kasimpasa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Kasimpasa at 1.48 per game, Rizespor at 1.47.
  • Win probability leans Kasimpasa's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Rizespor Clean Sheet 15%
Kasimpasa Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rizespor Kasimpasa
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 6 11
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.47 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Super Lig
Kasimpasa vs Rizespor
0:3
Sep 28, 2025 Super Lig
Rizespor vs Kasimpasa
1:2
Feb 9, 2025 Super Lig
Kasimpasa vs Rizespor
3:2
Aug 31, 2024 Super Lig
Rizespor vs Kasimpasa
0:1
May 18, 2024 Super Lig
Rizespor vs Kasimpasa
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rizespor 23 / 100
Kasimpasa 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rizespor Kasimpasa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kasimpasa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rizespor's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Kasimpasa let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Rizespor went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rizespor VS Kasimpasa
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rizespor

(Home)
31 Oct
Kocaelispor
0 : 0
Rizespor
26 Oct
Rizespor
3 : 4
Trabzonspor
16 Oct
Corum FK
2 : 1
Rizespor
10 Oct
Rizespor
0 : 3
Fenerbahce
03 Oct
Rizespor
3 : 0
Boluspor
Page 1 of 6

Kasimpasa

(Away)
01 Nov
Kasimpasa
2 : 2
Besiktas
29 Oct
Kasimpasa
3 : 1
Corluspor
24 Oct
Eyupspor
0 : 1
Kasimpasa
18 Oct
Kasimpasa
4 : 1
Samsunspor
09 Oct
Galatasaray
3 : 1
Kasimpasa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Galatasaray 10 8 1 1 23:12 25
2 Amedspor 10 7 2 1 25:11 23
3 Trabzonspor 10 7 1 2 24:8 22
4 Besiktas 10 6 1 3 20:12 19
5 Kasimpasa 10 4 5 1 15:11 17
6 Fenerbahce 10 5 1 4 24:10 16
7 Corum FK 10 5 1 4 21:16 16
8 Kocaelispor 10 5 1 4 11:9 16
9 Goztepe 10 4 3 3 21:17 15
10 Basaksehir 10 4 2 4 17:16 14
11 Erzurumspor FK 10 4 2 4 9:15 14
12 Alanyaspor 10 3 3 4 9:16 12
13 Rizespor 10 3 2 5 11:15 11
14 Genclerbirligi 10 3 2 5 12:18 11
15 Konyaspor 10 2 2 6 6:13 8
16 Gaziantep 10 2 2 6 9:17 8
17 Samsunspor 10 1 1 8 10:26 4
18 Eyupspor 10 1 0 9 3:28 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)