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Rizespor vs Samsunspor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

Super Lig Çaykur Didi Stadyumu, Rize
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Match Events

27'
Tomasson L.
33' Event
Mendes J.
Assist: Jarju S.
63' Event
Kaya F.
Assist: Jarju S.

AI Match Summary

Samsunspor in this Super Lig matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Samsunspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Rizespor
15%
Draws
0%
Samsunspor
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rizespor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rizespor lately — more wins on the board than Samsunspor.
  • Win probability leans Rizespor's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Rizespor Clean Sheet 20%
Samsunspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rizespor Samsunspor
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 12
Draws 7 5
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Super Lig
Rizespor vs Samsunspor
0:2
Apr 9, 2026 Super Lig
Rizespor vs Samsunspor
4:1
Oct 27, 2025 Super Lig
Samsunspor vs Rizespor
1:1
Feb 22, 2025 Super Lig
Samsunspor vs Rizespor
2:3
Sep 22, 2024 Super Lig
Rizespor vs Samsunspor
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rizespor Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Samsunspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendes J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kaya F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rizespor 85 / 100
Samsunspor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rizespor Samsunspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rizespor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: Samsunspor registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Rizespor found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Samsunspor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Rizespor VS Samsunspor
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rizespor

(Home)
10 Oct
Rizespor
0 : 3
Fenerbahce
03 Oct
Rizespor
3 : 0
Boluspor
20 Sept
Goztepe
2 : 2
Rizespor
12 Sept
Eyupspor
0 : 2
Rizespor
07 Sept
Rizespor
0 : 1
Alanyaspor
Page 1 of 6

Samsunspor

(Away)
10 Oct
Samsunspor
0 : 3
Trabzonspor
20 Sept
Erzurumspor FK
1 : 0
Samsunspor
12 Sept
Samsunspor
1 : 5
Corum FK
06 Sept
Kocaelispor
1 : 0
Samsunspor
30 Aug
Samsunspor
0 : 2
Fenerbahce
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Galatasaray 7 5 1 1 16:11 16
2 Amedspor 7 4 2 1 17:9 14
3 Fenerbahce 7 4 1 2 19:6 13
4 Trabzonspor 7 4 1 2 16:5 13
5 Besiktas 6 4 0 2 14:7 12
6 Kocaelispor 6 4 0 2 7:4 12
7 Alanyaspor 7 3 3 1 8:6 12
8 Kasimpasa 7 2 4 1 8:8 10
9 Rizespor 7 3 1 3 7:9 10
10 Gaziantep 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
11 Basaksehir 7 2 2 3 10:11 8
12 Genclerbirligi 7 2 2 3 7:15 8
13 Erzurumspor FK 7 2 2 3 3:11 8
14 Corum FK 6 2 1 3 13:12 7
15 Konyaspor 7 1 2 4 4:8 5
16 Samsunspor 7 1 1 5 6:15 4
17 Goztepe 6 0 3 3 11:15 3
18 Eyupspor 6 1 0 5 2:16 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)