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Rizespor vs Samsunspor

Turkey Turkey

Super Lig Çaykur Didi Stadyumu, Rize
Sun, Aug 23, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rizespor host Samsunspor in the Super Lig. This one's hard to separate. Samsunspor have shipped 1.25 goals a game lately, while Rizespor have conceded 1.63 and scored 1.63. Past meetings favor Rizespor slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 9, 2026, ending 4:1. xG projections (1.44 - 1.63) back Samsunspor to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Rizespor
11%
Draws
9%
Samsunspor
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Rizespor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Samsunspor lately — more wins on the board than Rizespor.
  • Win probability leans Rizespor's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Rizespor Clean Sheet 14%
Samsunspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rizespor Samsunspor
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 11 15
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.63 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2026 Super Lig
Rizespor vs Samsunspor
4:1
Oct 27, 2025 Super Lig
Samsunspor vs Rizespor
1:1
Feb 22, 2025 Super Lig
Samsunspor vs Rizespor
2:3
Sep 22, 2024 Super Lig
Rizespor vs Samsunspor
0:1
Feb 23, 2024 Super Lig
Samsunspor vs Rizespor
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rizespor 75 / 100
Samsunspor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rizespor Samsunspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RIZ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Rizespor found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Samsunspor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 32 matches.

Rizespor went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rizespor VS Samsunspor
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rizespor

(Home)
25 Jul
Osijek
1 : 3
Rizespor
17 Jul
Erzurumspor FK
0 : 0
Rizespor
15 Jul
Rizespor
3 : 0
Dinamo Batumi
15 May
Rizespor
2 : 2
Besiktas
09 May
Eyupspor
4 : 0
Rizespor
Page 1 of 6

Samsunspor

(Away)
25 Jul
RAAL La Louviere
0 : 0
Samsunspor
22 Jul
Dunkerque
2 : 1
Samsunspor
16 May
Samsunspor
3 : 0
Goztepe
09 May
Basaksehir
3 : 0
Samsunspor
02 May
Samsunspor
4 : 1
Galatasaray
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Trabzonspor00000:00
2Gaziantep00000:00
3Samsunspor00000:00
4Alanyaspor00000:00
5Amedspor00000:00
6Eyupspor00000:00
7Galatasaray00000:00
8Fenerbahce00000:00
9Besiktas00000:00
10Konyaspor00000:00
11Genclerbirligi00000:00
12Rizespor00000:00
13Kasimpasa00000:00
14Kocaelispor00000:00
15Basaksehir00000:00
16Goztepe00000:00
17Erzurumspor FK00000:00
18Corum FK00000:00
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)