Sport Picks

Stadium Background

RNK Split vs Din. Zagreb

Croatia Croatia

Croatian Cup 2022/2023 Stadion Park Mladeži, Split
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Drmic J.
20' Event
Drmic J.
27'
Menalo L.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-3, with Din. Zagreb advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
RNK Split
20%
Draws
47%
Din. Zagreb
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Din. Zagreb

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Din. Zagreb come out ahead of RNK Split on wins alone.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Din. Zagreb arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Din. Zagreb, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Din. Zagreb have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
RNK Split Clean Sheet 10%
Din. Zagreb Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RNK Split Din. Zagreb
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 21
Draws 5 7
Losses 12 2
Goals Scored 1.4 2.67
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 2.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2023 Croatian Cup
RNK Split vs Din. Zagreb
1:3
May 12, 2017 HNL
RNK Split vs Din. Zagreb
0:1
Mar 14, 2017 Croatian Cup
RNK Split vs Din. Zagreb
0:0
Mar 11, 2017 HNL
Din. Zagreb vs RNK Split
4:0
Mar 1, 2017 Croatian Cup
Din. Zagreb vs RNK Split
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

RNK Split Compare

Top Goalscorer Babic A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Din. Zagreb Compare

Top Goalscorer Drmic J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sutalo J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.04
Avg xA / game 1.24

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RNK Split 30 / 100
Din. Zagreb 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RNK Split Din. Zagreb

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Din. Zagreb Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:4
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RNK Split's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

RNK Split went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Din. Zagreb has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Din. Zagreb
0 Goals Scored 3.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

RNK Split

(Home)
14 Feb
RNK Split
1 : 3
Din. Zagreb
19 Oct
RNK Split
2 : 0
Cibalia
27 Jul
Dugopolje
1 : 0
RNK Split
28 May
Primorac Biograd
1 : 1
RNK Split
21 May
RNK Split
1 : 0
GOSK Dubrovnik
Page 1 of 6

Din. Zagreb

(Away)
20 Sept
Din. Zagreb
3 : 2
Lok. Zagreb
16 Sept
H. Beer Sheva
0 : 0
Din. Zagreb
12 Sept
Osijek
4 : 2
Din. Zagreb
09 Sept
Bedem Ivankovo
0 : 4
Din. Zagreb
05 Sept
Din. Zagreb
1 : 0
HNK Gorica
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Belisce 3
BSK Buk 0
Bijelo Brdo 5
Marsonia 1
Moslavina 3
Medjimurje 2
TBD -
Rijeka -
Vuteks Sloga 1
Jadran Porec 2
TBD -
Sibenik -
Radnik Krizevci 1
Dubrava Zagreb 3
TBD -
HNK Gorica -
Bjelovar 1
Gaj Mace 0
TBD -
Jaska Vinogradar -
Bistra 2
Vodice 1
TBD -
Lok. Zagreb -
RNK Split -
TBD -
TBD -
Cibalia -
Slavonac Bukovlje 0
Borinci 2
TBD -
Din. Zagreb -
NK Nedelisce 4
Varteks Varazdin (2011) 3
TBD -
Zapresic -
Solin 6
Funtana 1
TBD -
Slaven Belupo -
Sava Strmec 4
Bednja Beletinec 6
TBD -
Rudes -
Neretva 0
Grobnican 2
TBD -
Istra 1961 -
Nehaj Senj 0
Primorac Biograd 4
TBD -
Varazdin -
Papuk Orahovica 1
Karlovac 0
TBD -
Osijek -
Virovitica 0
Mladost Zdralovi 6
TBD -
Oriolik -
Tehnicar Cvetkovec 4
Mladost Petrinja 0
TBD -
Hajduk Split -
1/16-finals
Belisce 1
Bijelo Brdo 5
Moslavina 1
Rijeka 2
Jadran Porec 1
Sibenik 2
Dubrava Zagreb 2
HNK Gorica 3
Bjelovar 4
Jaska Vinogradar 2
Bistra 1
Lok. Zagreb 6
RNK Split 2
Cibalia 0
Borinci 0
Din. Zagreb 4
NK Nedelisce 3
Zapresic 0
Solin 1
Slaven Belupo 2
Bednja Beletinec 0
Rudes 3
Grobnican 1
Istra 1961 2
Primorac Biograd 1
Varazdin 4
Papuk Orahovica 0
Osijek 2
Mladost Zdralovi 6
Oriolik 0
Tehnicar Cvetkovec 1
Hajduk Split 5
1/8-finals
Bijelo Brdo 2
Rijeka 1
Sibenik 2
HNK Gorica 0
Bjelovar 0
Lok. Zagreb 1
RNK Split 1
Din. Zagreb 3
NK Nedelisce 0
Slaven Belupo 6
Rudes 2
Istra 1961 1
Varazdin 1
Osijek 2
Mladost Zdralovi 0
Hajduk Split 2
Quarter-finals
Bijelo Brdo 0
Sibenik 2
Lok. Zagreb 1
Din. Zagreb 3
Slaven Belupo 2
Rudes 0
Osijek 1
Hajduk Split 2
Semi-finals
Sibenik 2
Din. Zagreb 1
Slaven Belupo 0
Hajduk Split 1
Final
Sibenik 0
Hajduk Split 2