Sport Picks

Stadium Background

RNK Split vs Hrvace

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL South Stadion Park Mladeži, Split
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

RNK Split in this 3. HNL South matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored RNK Split.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
RNK Split
20%
Draws
40%
Hrvace
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to RNK Split lately — more wins on the board than Hrvace.
  • RNK Split are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
RNK Split Clean Sheet 18%
Hrvace Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RNK Split Hrvace
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 13 11
Draws 5 3
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.4 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2022 3. HNL South
RNK Split vs Hrvace
1:0
Nov 7, 2021 3. HNL South
Hrvace vs RNK Split
0:3
May 9, 2021 3. HNL South
Hrvace vs RNK Split
2:1
Oct 24, 2020 3. HNL South
RNK Split vs Hrvace
3:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RNK Split 40 / 100
Hrvace 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RNK Split Hrvace

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RNK Split Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

RNK Split's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Hrvace conceded in 72% of 32 recent games.

Solid form: RNK Split remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Hrvace
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

RNK Split

(Home)
14 Feb
RNK Split
1 : 3
Din. Zagreb
19 Oct
RNK Split
2 : 0
Cibalia
27 Jul
Dugopolje
1 : 0
RNK Split
28 May
Primorac Biograd
1 : 1
RNK Split
21 May
RNK Split
1 : 0
GOSK Dubrovnik
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Hrvace

(Away)
26 Sept
Hrvace
3 : 0
Orijent
19 Sept
Bijelo Brdo
1 : 2
Hrvace
12 Sept
Hrvace
0 : 0
Dubrava Zagreb
06 Sept
Karlovac
3 : 1
Hrvace
02 Sept
Opatija
1 : 0
Hrvace
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jadran Luka Ploce 34 20 5 9 67:28 65
2 Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje 34 18 6 10 56:38 60
3 Hrvace 34 18 6 10 46:39 60
4 HNK Zadar 34 16 11 7 69:28 59
5 Neretva 34 16 7 11 50:36 55
6 RNK Split 34 15 7 12 52:40 52
7 NK Junak Sinj 34 16 4 14 49:46 52
8 Uskok Klis 34 15 6 13 51:54 51
9 Sloga Mravince 34 12 14 8 48:45 50
10 Primorac Biograd 34 14 6 14 60:56 48
11 Zagora 34 12 8 14 47:52 44
12 GOSK Dubrovnik 34 11 10 13 35:34 43
13 Zmaj Makarska 34 11 10 13 28:39 43
14 Neretvanac 34 10 8 16 40:53 38
15 Kamen Podbablje 34 9 10 15 37:51 37
16 Vodice 34 8 9 17 44:73 33
17 Urania Baska Voda 34 10 3 21 33:65 33
18 OSK Otok 34 6 8 20 48:83 26
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)