Sport Picks

Stadium Background

RNK Split vs Zmaj Makarska Prediction & H2H Stats

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL South Stadion Park Mladeži, Split
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL South game between RNK Split and Zmaj Makarska finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zmaj Makarska.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
RNK Split
20%
Draws
29%
Zmaj Makarska
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: RNK Split

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • RNK Split carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on RNK Split taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
RNK Split Clean Sheet 20%
Zmaj Makarska Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RNK Split Zmaj Makarska
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 10
Draws 5 9
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.4 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2022 3. HNL South
RNK Split vs Zmaj Makarska
0:1
Oct 9, 2021 3. HNL South
Zmaj Makarska vs RNK Split
2:1
Jun 5, 2021 3. HNL South
Zmaj Makarska vs RNK Split
0:0
Nov 21, 2020 3. HNL South
RNK Split vs Zmaj Makarska
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RNK Split 76 / 100
Zmaj Makarska 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RNK Split Zmaj Makarska

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RNK Split Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RNK Split scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Zmaj Makarska conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: RNK Split remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Zmaj Makarska's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

RNK Split VS Zmaj Makarska
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

RNK Split

(Home)
14 Feb
RNK Split
1 : 3
Din. Zagreb
19 Oct
RNK Split
2 : 0
Cibalia
27 Jul
Dugopolje
1 : 0
RNK Split
28 May
Primorac Biograd
1 : 1
RNK Split
21 May
RNK Split
1 : 0
GOSK Dubrovnik
Page 1 of 6

Zmaj Makarska

(Away)
03 Aug
Zmaj Makarska
0 : 2
NK Junak Sinj
28 May
OSK Otok
2 : 1
Zmaj Makarska
22 May
Zmaj Makarska
1 : 0
Primorac Biograd
15 May
GOSK Dubrovnik
1 : 0
Zmaj Makarska
07 May
Zmaj Makarska
0 : 0
Zagora
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jadran Luka Ploce 34 20 5 9 67:28 65
2 Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje 34 18 6 10 56:38 60
3 Hrvace 34 18 6 10 46:39 60
4 HNK Zadar 34 16 11 7 69:28 59
5 Neretva 34 16 7 11 50:36 55
6 RNK Split 34 15 7 12 52:40 52
7 NK Junak Sinj 34 16 4 14 49:46 52
8 Uskok Klis 34 15 6 13 51:54 51
9 Sloga Mravince 34 12 14 8 48:45 50
10 Primorac Biograd 34 14 6 14 60:56 48
11 Zagora 34 12 8 14 47:52 44
12 GOSK Dubrovnik 34 11 10 13 35:34 43
13 Zmaj Makarska 34 11 10 13 28:39 43
14 Neretvanac 34 10 8 16 40:53 38
15 Kamen Podbablje 34 9 10 15 37:51 37
16 Vodice 34 8 9 17 44:73 33
17 Urania Baska Voda 34 10 3 21 33:65 33
18 OSK Otok 34 6 8 20 48:83 26
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)