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Stadium Background

RNK Split vs Zmaj Makarska

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL South Stadion Park Mladeži, Split
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL South game between RNK Split and Zmaj Makarska finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zmaj Makarska.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
RNK Split
11%
Draws
9%
Zmaj Makarska
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: RNK Split

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • RNK Split carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on RNK Split taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
RNK Split Clean Sheet 20%
Zmaj Makarska Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RNK Split Zmaj Makarska
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 14 10
Draws 5 9
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.5 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2022 3. HNL South
RNK Split vs Zmaj Makarska
0:1
Oct 9, 2021 3. HNL South
Zmaj Makarska vs RNK Split
2:1
Jun 5, 2021 3. HNL South
Zmaj Makarska vs RNK Split
0:0
Nov 21, 2020 3. HNL South
RNK Split vs Zmaj Makarska
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RNK Split 76 / 100
Zmaj Makarska 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RNK Split Zmaj Makarska

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RNK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RNK Split scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

Defensive concern: Zmaj Makarska conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: RNK Split remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Zmaj Makarska's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

RNK Split VS Zmaj Makarska
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

RNK Split

(Home)
14 Feb
RNK Split
1 : 3
Din. Zagreb
19 Oct
RNK Split
2 : 0
Cibalia
27 Jul
Dugopolje
1 : 0
RNK Split
28 May
Primorac Biograd
1 : 1
RNK Split
21 May
RNK Split
1 : 0
GOSK Dubrovnik
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Zmaj Makarska

(Away)
03 Aug
Zmaj Makarska
0 : 2
NK Junak Sinj
28 May
OSK Otok
2 : 1
Zmaj Makarska
22 May
Zmaj Makarska
1 : 0
Primorac Biograd
15 May
GOSK Dubrovnik
1 : 0
Zmaj Makarska
07 May
Zmaj Makarska
0 : 0
Zagora
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Jadran Luka Ploce34205967:2865
2Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje341861056:3860
3Hrvace341861046:3960
4HNK Zadar341611769:2859
5Neretva341671150:3655
6RNK Split341571252:4052
7NK Junak Sinj341641449:4652
8Uskok Klis341561351:5451
9Sloga Mravince341214848:4550
10Primorac Biograd341461460:5648
11Zagora341281447:5244
12GOSK Dubrovnik3411101335:3443
13Zmaj Makarska3411101328:3943
14Neretvanac341081640:5338
15Kamen Podbablje349101537:5137
16Vodice34891744:7333
17Urania Baska Voda341032133:6533
18OSK Otok34682048:8326
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)