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Roa W vs Valerenga W

Norway Norway

Toppserien Women Roabanen, Oslo
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Berisha E.
12' Event
Arnesen R.
Assist: Brekken S.
21' Event
Rosenlund K.

AI Match Summary

The Toppserien Women game between Roa W and Valerenga W finished 3-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Valerenga W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Roa W
15%
Draws
67%
Valerenga W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Valerenga W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Valerenga W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Valerenga W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Valerenga W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Roa W Clean Sheet 12%
Valerenga W Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Roa W Valerenga W
Matches Played 31 35
Wins 6 22
Draws 9 2
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.48 2.46
Goals Conceded 1.84 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Toppserien Women
Roa W vs Valerenga W
3:6
Apr 1, 2026 Toppserien Women
Valerenga W vs Roa W
4:0
Nov 15, 2025 Toppserien Women
Valerenga W vs Roa W
1:0
Aug 9, 2025 Toppserien Women
Valerenga W vs Roa W
3:0
Mar 29, 2025 Toppserien Women
Roa W vs Valerenga W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Roa W Compare

Top Goalscorer Berisha E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rosenlund K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Valerenga W Compare

Top Goalscorer Preus M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Arnesen R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.6
Avg xA / game 0.98

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Roa W 10 / 100
Valerenga W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Roa W Valerenga W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valerenga W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Attacking prowess: Roa W scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Valerenga W conceded in 71% of 35 recent games.

Recent resilience: Roa W stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Roa W VS Valerenga W
1 Goals Scored 1.38
2.14 Goals Conceded 1.25
57% Over 1.5 75%
43% Over 2.5 50%
43% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Roa W

(Home)
11 Sept
Roa W
3 : 6
Valerenga W
31 Aug
Roa W
1 : 3
Lyn W
21 Aug
Brann W
5 : 1
Roa W
15 Aug
Roa W
1 : 1
Molde W
20 Jun
Stabaek W
0 : 1
Roa W
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Valerenga W

(Away)
11 Sept
Roa W
3 : 6
Valerenga W
02 Sept
Valerenga W
7 : 1
Radomlje W
26 Aug
Radomlje W
0 : 2
Valerenga W
19 Aug
Valerenga W
2 : 1
Honefoss W
14 Aug
Bodo/Glimt W
1 : 4
Valerenga W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brann W 15 13 2 0 48:4 41
2 Aalesund W 15 12 1 2 37:14 37
3 Rosenborg W 16 11 3 2 31:18 36
4 Valerenga W 16 10 1 5 41:24 31
5 Stabaek W 16 7 3 6 33:19 24
6 Lyn W 15 5 4 6 26:20 19
7 Molde W 15 5 3 7 22:25 18
8 LSK Kvinner W 15 4 3 8 20:28 15
9 Haugesund W 16 4 3 9 20:39 15
10 Honefoss W 15 3 2 10 12:29 11
11 Roa W 15 2 4 9 15:34 10
12 Bodo/Glimt W 15 0 3 12 9:60 3
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women (Qualification)
Relegation - Toppserien Women (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 Women 2027 (Main)