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Roan United vs Nchanga Rangers

Zambia Zambia

Super League 2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Roan United play Nchanga Rangers in the Super League 2013. Nchanga Rangers are favorites here. Recently, Roan United averaged 0.73 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. Nchanga Rangers averaged 0.87 goals scored and 0.77 conceded. In past meetings, Roan United won 1, Nchanga Rangers won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 4, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for Roan United and 1.56 for Nchanga Rangers. This points to a Nchanga Rangers double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Roan United
18%
Draws
57%
Nchanga Rangers
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Nchanga Rangers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence
  • Roan United picked up more points recently compared to Nchanga Rangers.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.97 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 61%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Over 3.5 Goals 17%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Roan United Clean Sheet 15%
Nchanga Rangers Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 55%
Second Half Goal 58%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Roan United Nchanga Rangers
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 12
Draws 9 7
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 0.73 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.43 0.77
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Absa Cup
Roan United vs Nchanga Rangers
0:2
Jul 19, 2014 Super League
Nchanga Rangers vs Roan United
2:0
Mar 15, 2014 Super League
Roan United vs Nchanga Rangers
0:2
Aug 25, 2013 Super League
Roan United vs Nchanga Rangers
2:1
Apr 7, 2013 Super League
Nchanga Rangers vs Roan United
4:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Roan United 26 / 100
Nchanga Rangers 54 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Roan United Nchanga Rangers

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nchanga Rangers Win (2)
Secondary Pick Nchanga Rangers & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +47%
5.88
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +26.1%
4.35
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Roan United attacking → ← attacking Nchanga Rangers

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Roan United scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Nchanga Rangers let in goals in 55% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Roan United went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Nchanga Rangers lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

21 Points in last 5 43
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Nkana30178545:2559
2Zesco30169552:2257
3Nchanga Rangers30156937:3051
4Zanaco301310741:2649
5Red Arrows301114530:2247
6Green Buffaloes FC30129934:2945
7Konkola Blades301281029:2944
8Power Dynamos301191033:3042
9Roan United301011932:2941
10Kabwe301171227:2740
11Konkola Mine Police301151426:3738
12NAPSA Stars301071328:3537
13Nkwazi30971429:3434
14Lime Hotspurs30761723:4927
15Kalulushi Modern Stars30661824:4324
16Forest Rangers302121620:4318