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Robina City vs Caboolture

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League Robina Common
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AI Match Summary

Robina City play Caboolture in the Queensland Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Robina City averaged 1.65 goals scored and 1.18 conceded. Caboolture averaged 1.83 goals scored and 2.1 conceded. In past meetings, Robina City won 0, Caboolture won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 24, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Robina City and 1.69 for Caboolture. This points to a Caboolture double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Robina City
17%
Draws
44%
Caboolture
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Caboolture

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Robina City picked up more points recently compared to Caboolture.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Robina City Clean Sheet 13%
Caboolture Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Robina City Caboolture
Matches Played 17 29
Wins 7 12
Draws 4 4
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.65 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.18 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Robina City vs Caboolture
0:1
Feb 28, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Caboolture vs Robina City
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Robina City Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Caboolture Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Robina City 38 / 100
Caboolture 42 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Robina City Caboolture

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Caboolture or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.3%
1.54
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Robina City attacking → ← attacking Caboolture

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Robina City scored in 76% of their last 17 games.

Caboolture let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Robina City went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Caboolture lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

25 Points in last 5 40
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 2.38
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Broadbeach Utd.17143046:1545
2Brisbane Strikers17133142:1442
3Sunshine Coast Wanderers1785436:2229
4Ipswich1784527:2428
5Caboolture1782734:3026
6Robina City1774628:2025
7Redlands1773734:3124
8Holland Park Hawks1772829:3323
9Logan Lightning1762930:3320
10North Star17321216:3711
11St. George Willawong17311310:3910
12Capalaba FC17211416:507