Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Roccella vs Ebolitana

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2017/2018
Roccella Logo

Roccella

4 - 0
FT
Ebolitana Logo

Ebolitana

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2017/2018 game between Roccella and Ebolitana finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Roccella.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Roccella
20%
Draws
40%
Ebolitana
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Roccella come out ahead of Ebolitana on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Roccella Clean Sheet 14%
Ebolitana Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Roccella Ebolitana
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 9 5
Draws 7 11
Losses 21 14
Goals Scored 1 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.07 1.59
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2018 Serie D - Group I
Roccella vs Ebolitana
4:0
Nov 26, 2017 Serie D - Group I
Ebolitana vs Roccella
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Roccella 31 / 100
Ebolitana 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Roccella Ebolitana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ebolitana Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ebolitana has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Ebolitana lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Roccella found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (37 games).

Scoring Trends

Roccella VS Ebolitana
0.75 Goals Scored 0.8
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.4
88% Over 1.5 80%
50% Over 2.5 60%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Roccella

(Home)
03 Jul
FC Messina
7 : 1
Roccella
16 Jun
Roccella
1 : 1
Castrovillari
13 Jun
Gelbison
4 : 0
Roccella
30 May
Roccella
2 : 1
Biancavilla
23 May
Roccella
0 : 1
AS Acireale
Page 1 of 8

Ebolitana

(Away)
20 Sept
Manfredonia
3 : 0
Ebolitana
16 Sept
Ebolitana
2 : 1
Bisceglie
12 Sept
Ebolitana
1 : 1
A.C.D. Nardo
06 Sept
Nocerina
2 : 1
Ebolitana
20 May
US Palmese
3 : 0
Ebolitana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vibonese 34 22 10 2 67:24 76
2 Troina 34 24 4 6 59:28 76
3 Nocerina 34 20 9 5 50:20 69
4 Vesuvio Ercolanese 34 19 7 8 58:33 64
5 Igea Virtus 34 18 6 10 43:25 60
6 ACR Messina 34 14 11 9 57:39 53
7 Gela 34 13 13 8 56:46 52
8 AS Acireale 34 14 9 11 47:45 51
9 Gelbison 34 11 14 9 36:42 47
10 Cittanovese 34 11 9 14 43:46 42
11 Portici 1906 34 12 6 16 35:44 42
12 Sancataldese 34 11 7 16 40:41 40
13 Roccella 34 10 8 16 41:49 38
14 US Palmese 34 11 10 13 47:54 37
15 Ebolitana 34 6 12 16 32:50 30
16 Pro Palazzolo (Inactive) 34 5 10 19 26:53 25
17 Paceco 34 6 3 25 30:74 20
18 Isola Capo Rizzuto 34 2 6 26 15:69 12
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2017/2018 (Play Offs)