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Roccella vs Licata

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Cannavo A.
49' Event
Civilleri M.
52' Event
Samake B.

AI Match Summary

Licata in this Serie D - Group I 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Licata.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Roccella
30%
Draws
47%
Licata
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Licata

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Licata have won more games recently than Roccella.
  • Model gives Licata a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Roccella Clean Sheet 25%
Licata Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Roccella Licata
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 5 8
Draws 5 4
Losses 20 17
Goals Scored 0.77 1
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2021 Serie D - Group I
Roccella vs Licata
1:2
Oct 4, 2020 Serie D - Group I
Licata vs Roccella
2:0
Apr 26, 2020 Serie D - Group I
Licata vs Roccella
0:0
Dec 15, 2019 Serie D - Group I
Roccella vs Licata
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Roccella Compare

Top Goalscorer Samake B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Licata Compare

Top Goalscorer Cannavo A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Civilleri M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Roccella 13 / 100
Licata 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Roccella Licata

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Licata Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Licata let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Roccella scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Roccella remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Licata
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Roccella

(Home)
03 Jul
FC Messina
7 : 1
Roccella
16 Jun
Roccella
1 : 1
Castrovillari
13 Jun
Gelbison
4 : 0
Roccella
30 May
Roccella
2 : 1
Biancavilla
23 May
Roccella
0 : 1
AS Acireale
Page 1 of 6

Licata

(Away)
26 Sept
Enna
0 : 3
Licata
20 Sept
Licata
1 : 0
USD Ragusa
16 Sept
Castrumfavara
1 : 1
Licata
13 Sept
Licata
1 : 1
Nissa
06 Sept
Reggina
5 : 0
Licata
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ACR Messina 34 21 11 2 66:25 74
2 FC Messina 34 21 9 4 59:25 72
3 Gelbison 34 19 9 6 54:32 66
4 San Luca 34 17 7 10 46:38 58
5 AS Acireale 34 17 6 11 51:32 57
6 Dattilo 34 16 4 14 51:47 52
7 Rotonda 34 13 10 11 31:33 49
8 Santa Maria Cilento 34 10 15 9 43:29 45
9 Biancavilla 34 14 4 16 43:47 45
10 Licata 34 11 10 13 36:39 43
11 Castrovillari 34 10 11 13 39:37 41
12 Paterno 34 10 9 15 28:35 39
13 Cittanovese 34 10 9 15 42:51 39
14 S. Agata 34 8 12 14 32:48 36
15 Troina 34 9 9 16 27:47 36
16 Rende 34 9 7 18 38:58 34
17 Marina di Ragusa 34 8 9 17 38:58 33
18 Roccella 34 5 5 24 25:68 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2020/2021 (Play Offs)